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PFL MENA 2: Omar El Dafrawy vs Daniele Miceli Odds, Tips and Predictions

Date: Friday, 4 July 2025 Time: 5:00 PM BST (local Riyadh time: 7:00 PM AST) Venue: The Green Halls, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia Broadcaster: ESPN+ (International), DAZN (UK) SportsBoom previews the PFL MENA 2 main event as Egypt’s Omar El Dafrawy (13-5) takes on Italy’s Daniele “The Cyborg” Miceli (13-6, 1 NC) in a classic striker vs grappler showdown. One man swings with heat, the other dives for legs. Riyadh is getting a main event that could last five minutes or fifteen, but probably not much in between. For fans looking to place a wager, there are plenty of competitive lines available across the top MMA betting platforms.

Joshua Gaillard
J.G.

Last updated: 2025-07-01

Chad Nagel

6 minutes read

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Daniele MICELI of Italy celebrates his victory over Yassin NAJID of France

Daniele MICELI/Getty Images

Regional Gold Meets Veteran Grit

Omar El Dafrawy is on a heater. Seven wins in a row, five finishes, and a belt around his waist. He’s not just winning, he’s deleting people. After folding Jarrah Al-Selawe and stopping Alaqraa in back-to-back fights, it’s hard to argue he’s not the top welterweight in the region. He pressures, he cracks, and he doesn’t mind a little blood.
Miceli is a different beast. Older, craftier, and constantly fishing for your neck. He’s not going to outbox you or win a foot race, but if the fight hits the mat and he’s in control, good luck. He thrives in scrambles and punishes hesitation. This is classic chaos vs control. One man lands bombs, the other plots ambushes on the canvas.

Pre-Game Odds and Win Probability: El Dafrawy the Favourite

  1. Omar El Dafrawy: 4/6 (1.67) – 60%

  2. Daniele Miceli: 11/8 (2.38) – 42.1%

    Odds courtesy of Stake, subject to change.

  3. The sports betting online market is firmly behind El Dafrawy’s current form. He is the favourite for good reason. The man has been running through opponents like a cheat code. But if you believe in jiu-jitsu fairy tales, Miceli by sub is where the value lives. Just don’t blink. This one won’t be boring.

Tale of the Tape

Attribute Omar El DafrawyDaniele Miceli
Age 3037
Height 5'9" (175cm)5'7" (170cm)
Weight 170 lbs (77 kg)170 lbs (77 kg)
Reach 74.0" (188 cm)72.0" (183 cm)
Record 13-5-013-6-0 (1 NC)
KO/TKO 8 wins (62%)2 wins (15%)
Submission 2 wins (15%)7 wins (54%)
Decisions 3 wins (23%)4 wins (31%)
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Omar El Dafrawy News

Omar El Dafrawy is not just the face of PFL MENA. He is its first champion and its most violent highlight reel. His rise started with a crushing first-round finish of Jarrah Al-Selawe, where a clean one-two sent the veteran crashing down and hammerfists did the rest. That set up a showdown with the golden boy, Mohammad Alaqraa, who came in undefeated and left looking for his mouthpiece. El Dafrawy needed less than a minute of round two to close that one. Since moving his training base to Bali, he’s turned into a sharper, meaner version of himself. Seven straight wins, knockout power in both hands, and no interest in going the distance. The MENA belt might be the start, not the peak.

Daniele Miceli News

Daniele “The Cyborg” Miceli might not be a machine, but he does reboot fast. He choked out Ibrahima Mané and Yassin Najid in the first round and strolled into the PFL Europe final with momentum and a full tank of swagger. Then Florim Zendeli reminded him what a rear-naked choke feels like. It wasn’t pretty. But Miceli is one of those fighters who thrives in mess. He doesn’t mind chaos. In fact, he invites it. Give him a scramble, and he’ll turn it into a submission before you can say “grip fight.” The gas tank is a question. So is the chin. But if this hits the mat, he only needs one good grip to flip the script.

Suggested Bets

  1. El Dafrawy to Win by KO/TKO: With 62% of wins by knockout and a history of fast starts, this is his clearest path. 1/1 (2.00) – 50% with Stake

  2. Alaoui vs Mokhtar – Fight Goes the Distance: Alaoui is technically sound but often plays it safe, while Mokhtar’s explosiveness tends to fade if he can’t get the early finish. 3/4 (1.75) – 57.1% with Betandyou

  3. Omar Hussein to Win: Hussein’s recent form, cage control, and timing make him a tough matchup for the emotionally charged Alaqraa. 11/10 (2.10) – 47.6% with 1xBet

Value Bets

  1. Zarey to Win by KO: Zarey’s hands are fast and accurate, and Galal’s chin hasn’t been seriously tested yet at this level. 3/1 (4.00) – 25% with Betway

  2. Benkaci to Win via Submission: Benkaci has slick jiu-jitsu and a knack for catching aggressive opponents. Adur’s rush-heavy style might leave him exposed. 7/2 (4.50) – 22.2% with BC.Game

  3. Fight Ends in Draw – Abzakh vs Yazbeck: Both fighters are skilled, durable, and could steal a round each. If a third round is razor-close, a draw isn’t off the table. 50/1 (51.00) – 2% with Pinnacle

Prediction: Other fights to note

  1. Omar Hussein vs Mohammad Alaqraa – A must-win for Alaqraa, who got humbled in the 2024 final. Hussein is slick and patient. This could be a clinical or a complete collapse.

  2. Mohamed Zarey vs Ayman Galal – Zarey brings heat. Galal wants to wrestle. If Zarey keeps it standing, this ends quick.

  3. Xavier Alaoui vs Ziad Mokhtar – Mokhtar throws wild. Alaoui doesn’t blink. This one could get weird fast.

  4. Mokhtar Benkaci vs Marcel Adur – Benkaci has the experience. Adur has the power. Who breaks first?

  5. Elias Boudegzdame vs Mehdi Saadi – Boudegzdame is technical. Saadi is raw. If Boudegzdame makes weight clean, this should be his fight.

  6. Nawras Abzakh vs Ali Yazbeck – Yazbeck is sharp and unbeaten. Abzakh is gritty and built for three rounds. Sleeper fight of the night.

Prediction: El Dafrawy by KO in Round 1

Miceli can scramble. He can sub people. But he cannot take what El Dafrawy is bringing early. If this stays on the feet, it ends fast. If Miceli somehow survives and turns this into a grappling match, it gets interesting. But let’s be honest. El Dafrawy smells blood, and Riyadh might get a knockout replay by the second minute. The Italian has a puncher's chance on the ground, but the problem is getting there without getting his head taken off. The longer this stays vertical, the worse it gets for him. Expect violence, not chess. For those watching the markets closely might even spot a sign up bonus worth taking into the final round.

Joshua Gaillard
Joshua Gaillard Sports Writer

Joshua Gaillard is a freelance editor and dedicated Arsenal fan, known for creating fact-based, insightful content. His work, featured on top South African websites, blends analysis with engaging storytelling for clear, impactful articles.

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