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Aston Villa vs Bournemouth Preview: Odds, Tips and Prediction

Date: Sunday Kickoff Time: 14:00 GMT Venue: Villa Park SportsBoom previews the Premier League showdown between Aston Villa and Bournemouth, two sides who face off on the back of defeats to the league’s big guns at Villa Park on Sunday afternoon. Villa’s four-game league streak ended at Anfield, but the eye test said the structure still works. Bournemouth brings tidy numbers, clean sheets, and quick counters. Premier League betting fans can expect a fast game, high full backs, and chances both ways.

Joshua Gaillard
J.G.

Last updated: 2025-05-07

Chad Nagel

5 minutes read

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 Tyrone Mings of Aston Villa reacts as he runs off the ball during the Premier League

Tyrone Mings /Getty Images

Pre-Game Outlook: European Push vs Top-Four Ambitions

After losing to Liverpool and Man City, respectively, this then turns into a different kind of measuring-stick encounter for both. Villa are targeting a return to European nights at a packed Villa Park, built on a front-foot identity and a spine that believes it belongs in the top six. Bournemouth’s rise has not been a fluke. They have collected results with control in midfield and sharp transitions, and a win here would keep them on a top-four trajectory.

The head-to-head has been balanced across the last ten league meetings: four Villa wins, four Bournemouth wins, and two draws. Villa Park has tilted the margins before, but Bournemouth have travelled well in this fixture. Expect urgency, high tempo, and full backs influencing territory.

Pre-Game Odds and Win Probability

  1. Aston Villa: 2.20 (45%)

  2. Draw: 3.50 (29%)

  3. Bournemouth: 3.40 (26%)
    Odds courtesy of Stake, subject to change

Head-To-Head Record

Last five meetings (All competitions)

  1. 10 May 2025: Bournemouth 0–1 Aston Villa

  2. 26 Oct 2024: Aston Villa 1–1 Bournemouth

  3. 21 Apr 2024: Aston Villa 3–1 Bournemouth

  4. 03 Dec 2023: Bournemouth 2–2 Aston Villa

  5. 18 Mar 2023: Aston Villa 3–0 Bournemouth

    Overall: Aston Villa 4 wins | Bournemouth 2 wins | 2 draws

Aston Villa: Current Form – WWWWL

Villa’s level has been solid for weeks, with a clear pattern to their best football: front-foot pressing, Matty Cash and Lucas Digne high and aggressive, and Ollie Watkins making every possible angled run to open space for more attacks, and possibly find himself on the end of an eye-catching pass. The latter of that being more difficult with Emi Buendia not on the pitch at present. At Anfield, they actually carried early threat through Morgan Rogers, who clipped the post possibly changing the course of the game, Matty Cash forced a big scare for the opposition defence, as he does every week, and the teams overall movement looked sharp, before a stray pass from World Cup winner Emiliano Martinez coupled with an unlucky deflection off Pau Torres which swung the night. Overall, the Villain’s structure is sound, and their focus now should be cleaner decision-making in the first-phase build and a touch more direct service when the mid-block tightens.

Key Players to Watch

  • Matty Cash: Overlaps and late arrivals at the edge of the box keep Villa on the front foot, and that whipping right boot really gets the job done, whether high and curled or low and hard.
  • Emiliano Martinez: Organises the back line and resets tempo after turnovers, but the silly mistakes are often present, and if he can limit them, the team will come right.
  • John McGinn: Sets the tone in duels and connects pressure to chance creation. He also knows how to ignite his squad into a higher tempo and really get them playing with more energy.

Bournemouth Team News

Emiliano Buendia possibly remains off the field and out with a foot issue, while Youri Tielemans (calf) and Andres García are also unavailable. Harvey Elliott’s involvement hinges on fitness and balance, since he missed the last match not being able to go up to his parent club. Buendia’s absence likely means a straight Sancho-vs-Malen call, with the core unchanged.

Bournemouth: Current Form – WLWWD

Bournemouth’s unbeaten stretch ended at Manchester City, but the display still carried bite, although some might say it was a bit arrogant with an extremely high defensive line against an Erling Haaland Man City. Tyler Adams pounced from a corner after pressure from David Brooks unsettled the keeper, Eli Kroupi threatened repeatedly, and Djordje Petrovic produced strong stops with Alex Jimenez clearing off the line, all to produce a rather disappointing result at the end of the day. 

The frustration was in the details, with an over-committed shape before the opener and Adrien Truffert’s mistimed step for the second, but with all that being said, the framework remains convincing. Lewis Cook and Adams anchor the centre, Ryan Christie and Alex Scott knit attacks, and runners like Marcus Tavernier and Antoine Semenyo stretch high lines.

Key Players to Watch

  • Tyler Adams: The organiser-in-chief. He screens the back four and more often than not wins the first contact and does not waste the overturned ball.
  • Ryan Christie: He is proving to be the glue that has put the Cherries where they are by finding pockets and releasing runners early who are completing what he sets in motion.
  • Antoine Semenyo: He is actually having a crazy good season, bringing an immense direct outlet, which punishes defences when not compact enough.

Aston Villa Team News

Enes Unal is back in training but has yet to make an appearance since an ACL injury against Forest. The Cherries may have another good option up front. Evanilson had a minor calf concern ahead of the City fixture and made an appearance off the bench, so expect a start this week; however, form points to Eli Kroupi retaining his spot after three straight league goals prior to last week’s defeat.

Predicted Line-Up

  1. Liverpool XI (4-2-3-1):

    Martínez; Cash, Konsa, Torres, Digne; Kamara, Onana; McGinn, Rogers, Malen; Watkins

  2. Aston Villa XI (4-2-3-1): 

    Petrovic; Araujo, Senesi, Diakité, Truffert; Cook, Adams; Brooks, Scott, Tavernier; Semenyo

Suggested Bets

Based on current form and head-to-head records, here are our key selections alongside additional tips and predictions for this clash at Villa Park.

  1. Both Teams to Score: Two attacking sides looking to outscore each other could lead to an open game. 1.70 (58.8%) with 1xBet

  2. Over 2.5 Goals: Styles and recent chance creation point to a lively total. 1.80 (55.6%) with Betandyou

  3. Ollie Watkins to Score or Assist: Channel runs remain Villa’s most reliable route to chances. 1.95 (51.3%) with Stake

Value Bets

New customers can use a sign up bonus to add extra value when backing options like goalscorers, first-half totals, or assist markets.

  1. Morgan Rogers 1+ Shot on Target: Consistent outlet when Watkins drags markers. 2.10 (47.6%) Stake

  2. Matty Cash 0.5+ Shots: Advanced starting positions give him looks from the edge. 2.60 (38.5%) with Stake

  3. Correct Score 2–1 Aston Villa: Fits if Villa’s press bites and Bournemouth still land a counter. 9.00 (11.1%) with BetWinner

Prediction: Aston Villa to Win

Villa’s press, full-back thrust, and Ollie Watkins as the spearhead should carry a narrow decision, even with Bournemouth’s live threat in transition. Expect the Villa midfield to hoover up second balls while the forwards sneak into pockets that defenders only notice once the net ripples. Expect Bournemouth to be a lot tidier while Antoine Semenyo scares the touchline photographers, but at Villa Park, the script usually has a claret tint. Call it 2–1.

Joshua Gaillard
Joshua Gaillard Sports Writer

Joshua Gaillard is a freelance editor and dedicated Arsenal fan, known for creating fact-based, insightful content. His work, featured on top South African websites, blends analysis with engaging storytelling for clear, impactful articles.