Football
Brighton vs Newcastle Preview: Odds, Tips and Prediction
Date: October 18, 2025 Kickoff Time: 15:00 (UK Time) Venue: American Express Stadium SportsBoom previews the English Premier League match between Brighton and Newcastle United at the American Express Stadium on Saturday, 18 October 2025. A clash of contrasting styles awaits as Brighton’s dominance on home soil meets Newcastle United’s defensive resurgence in a tightly poised Premier League showdown. Gain an edge with our detailed analysis, crafted to help you make smarter bets through the best online betting sites. Two ambitious clubs with contrasting styles prepare to lock horns as Brighton host Newcastle United in what promises to be a fiercely competitive Premier League encounter at the American Express Stadium.
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Carlos Baleba is challenged by Sandro Tonali //Getty Images
Fabian Hurzeler’s Brighton have proven themselves giant-slayers this season against UEFA Champions League heavyweights like Manchester City, Chelsea, and Tottenham.
However, they remain inconsistent on the road and will be desperate to capitalize on home ground advantage against a Newcastle side that hasn’t beaten them at the Amex in eight attempts.
On the other hand, Newcastle United have steadied their early-season woes by stringing along an unbeaten streak, which is backed by defensive solidarity, including five clean sheets from seven Premier League matches, while new signing Nick Woltemade has added a new focal point to their attack.
We’re set for an intriguing tactical showdown between two well-drilled sides, where the finest of margins and defensive discipline could ultimately decide the outcome.
PRE-GAME ODDS AND WIN PROBABILITY
BRIGHTON NARROW FAVOURITES
HOME: 150/100 (2.50) – 40%
DRAW: 255/100 (3.55) – 28,2%
AWAY: 175/100 (2.75) – 36,4%
*Odds courtesy of Betway, subject to change
Head-to-Head Record
Last Five Meetings (Premier League)
04/05/25: Brighton 1-1 Newcastle
19/10/24: Newcastle 0-1 Brighton
11/05/24: Newcastle 1-1 Brighton
02/09/23: Brighton 3-1 Newcastle
18/05/23: Newcastle 4-1 Brighton
BRIGHTON: CURRENT FORM – DWWDL
Brighton are bracing for a challenging stretch of fixtures, beginning with a visit to Old Trafford to face Manchester United next weekend, before heading to the Emirates Stadium to take on Arsenal in the fourth round of the EFL Cup.
German tactician Fabian Hurzeler won’t overlook this crucial Premier League encounter with Newcastle United, although the Seagulls will be brimming with confidence having never tasted defeat to the Magpies at the American Express Stadium in eight matches (including five draws).
Brighton have been impressive against the Premier League’s UEFA Champions League participants, going unbeaten against Manchester City, Chelsea, and Tottenham.
The Seagulls claimed maximum points over Manchester City (2-1), on home soil, while late drama at Stamford Bridge upset the applecart once more with a surprising come-from-behind victory against an injury-hit Chelsea (1-3), courtesy of Danny Welbeck.
The spoils were shared against an in-form Tottenham (2-2); however, Brighton would only have themselves to blame. The Seagulls swooped into an early two-goal advantage through Yasin Ayari and Yankuba Minteh.
Unfortunately for Brighton, Richarlison pulled one back for Spurs just before the half-time break, and their woes were compounded when defender Jan Paul van Hecke scored an own goal ten minutes from time. A cruel end to what had been a quality performance.
Brighton will aim to make home advantage count, having faced the most difficulty on the road. The first-ever Premier League match at the Hill Dickinson Stadium saw Brighton suffer a 2-0 loss to Everton.
The Seagulls left the Vitality Stadium empty-handed with Bournemouth (2-1), ousting Brighton from the penalty spot through Antoine Semenyo after defender Jan Paul van Hecke proved to be his team’s worst enemy for a second time this season after bringing down striker Evanilson in the box.
However, the central defender came to the rescue against a rejuvenated Wolves outfit (1-1) prior to the international break, with his goal on enemy territory enough to suffice for a share of the spoils and highlight Brighton’s clear weakness of needing to improve in their away performances.
Key Players to watch
- Brajan Gruda: The German Under-21 international was handpicked by manager Fabian Hurzeler and is well on his way to becoming a regular in the team. Gruda scored the winner against Manchester City and assisted Danny Welbeck to clinch victory against Chelsea.
- Yankuba Minteh: The powerful and industrious winger is enjoying an exceptional spell of form for club and country. Contributing two assists during Brighton’s visits to Bournemouth and Chelsea, respectively, while scoring against Tottenham on home soil. Also adding a goal and assist for his nation, Gambia, on international duty.
- Danny Welbeck: With his goals against Chelsea, the veteran striker scored in his 17th different Premier League campaign. An incredible feat with only four players netting in more: Ryan Giggs (21), Paul Scholes (19), Frank Lampard (18), and James Milner (18). Welbeck’s experience, combined with Gruda’s youthful flair, could be a match made in heaven for Brighton.
BRIGHTON TEAM NEWS
Brighton will be sweating over the fitness of winger Kaoru Mitoma, currently nursing a knock to his ankle. Meanwhile, midfielder Jack Hinshelwood is expected to be unavailable for six to eight weeks following a serious ankle ligament injury.
Defender Joel Veltman (calf injury) is nearing his return to full fitness, while long-term absentees Adam Webster and Solly March are only expected to recover from their cruciate ligament injuries in 2026.
NEWCASTLE UNITED: CURRENT FORM – WWLWD
Newcastle will have one eye on their midweek UEFA Champions League clash against Jose Mourinho’s Benfica following their trip to Brighton. The Magpies lost to Barcelona (1-2) in their opening match before claiming their first UCL win this season over Belgian club Royale Union Saint-Gilloise (0-4).
Manager Eddie Howe struggled to steady the ship at the beginning of the season as the controversy surrounding striker Alexander Isak joining defending champions Liverpool provided much unwanted uncertainty.
With Isak still on their books but training at his old club Real Sociedad in Spain, Newcastle began the 2025/26 Premier League campaign with a goalless stalemate away at Aston Villa before an enthralling clash with Liverpool on home soil.
Bruno Guimaraes and William Osula canceled out Liverpool’s two-goal advantage that left St. James’ Park rocking with the match precariously balanced at 2-2 and 10 minutes of added extra time left to play.
Liverpool’s depth came into play with substitute Rio Ngumoha announcing himself to the Premier League by scoring the winner (3-2), unbelievably just four days before his 17th birthday.
After the transfer window shut, manager Eddie Howe seemed to focus more on defensive stability as Newcastle earned three straight clean sheets in goalless draws away at Leeds United and Bournemouth
Meanwhile, Isak’s replacement, Nick Woltemade, instantly drew the adoration of Newcastle United supporters by scoring the winner to clinch victory against Wolves (1-0) on debut.
Woltemade opened their scoring against title-challenging Arsenal before two late goals by Mikel Merino and Gabriel Magalhaes spoiled the party at St. James’ Park.
However, the Magpies returned to winning ways with Woltemade showing incredible technique from the penalty spot, emphatically smashing the ball into the top corner after Bruno Guimaraes gave the hosts the lead against Nottingham Forest (2-0).
With Newcastle’s momentum building and Woltemade quickly finding his feet, the Magpies will aim to maintain their form against Brighton before turning their attention to a crucial European night that could shape the trajectory of their 2025/26 UEFA Champions League campaign.
Key Players to Watch
- Bruno Guimaraes: The Brazilian brings flair, creating one of the most balanced midfield trios in the Premier League together with Joelinton and Sandro Tonali. Meanwhile, also forming an impenetrable shield to their defence, which is the backbone of Newcastle, keeping five clean sheets from their seven Premier League matches this season.
- Nick Woltemade: Signing the 23-year-old German striker has proven to be a stroke of genius by manager Eddie Howe, hitting the ground running in the Premier League with three goals in four EPL matches. The new focal point in attack is an asset in both boxes during set-pieces, given his 198cm tall frame. Next to his teammate Dan Burn, the pair will be a handful.
- Nick Pope: The 33-year-old goalkeeper was shockingly omitted from Thomas Tuchel’s England squad for recent games against Wales and Latvia despite keeping five clean sheets from his seven appearances in the Premier League. During his nine games this campaign, only Arsenal, Liverpool, and Barcelona have scored against Pope.
NEWCASTLE UNITED TEAM NEWS
Defender Tino Livramento sustained a serious knee ligament injury against Arsenal, with the former Chelsea youth captain aiming to make his return by December. Meanwhile, Lewis Hall (hamstring injury) is doubtful for this clash, with midfielder Jacob Ramsey expected to make his comeback after an ankle injury setback.
Signed from Brentford in a £55million deadline day move, Yoane Wissa’s dream start at Newcastle quickly turned into a nightmare after being sidelined by a knee injury just days later while on international duty with the Democratic Republic of Congo.
The 29-year-old forward is yet to make his long-awaited debut with manager Eddie Howe stating, “He went to see a specialist again [last Thursday] just for a check-up on his knee. Probably think it'll be more eight weeks than six, so maybe a slight delay. No recurrence. No problem, just maybe slightly longer.”
Predicted Line-Ups
Brighton: 4-2-3-1
Verbruggen; Wieffer, Van Hecke, Dunk, De Cuyper; Baleba, Ayari; Minteh, Gruda, Mitoma; Welbeck.
Newcastle United: 4-3-3
Pope; Trippier, Thiaw, Botman, Burn; Bruno Guimaraes, Tonali, Joelinton; Elanga, Woltemade, Gordon.
Suggested Bets
Take advantage of a welcome bonus when signing up, giving your bankroll a boost for football betting on Brighton and Newcastle United.
Multigoals: 1-3: This bet has come home with flying colours during seven of Newcastle’s last eight visits to Brighton. Follow the trend. (52/100 with Betway) (53/100 with Pinnacle) (51/100 with 888Starz)
Brighton Total (Total 1.5) - Under: Newcastle have only conceded to Arsenal, Liverpool, and Barcelona this season. We’re taking Brighton to score fewer than two goals. (63/100 with Betway) (63/100 with Pinnacle) (64/100 with 888Starz)
Under 2.5 Goals - Yes: This bet seems like we’re against the bookies' suggestion of a high-scoring affair, and we certainly are. Plenty of value in this option. (97/100 with Betway) (96/100 with Pinnacle) (95/100 with 888Starz)
Value Bets
Given the likelihood of another tight and low-scoring contest, it’s important to be aware of how different markets are settled under the Football betting rules.
Double Chance and Overs/Unders (Total 3.5) – Draw/Newcastle & Under 3.5: In search of smarter plays, we attempt to combine the visitors on the Double Chance combined with Under 3.5 Goals. Get on! (116/100 with Betway) (115/100 with Pinnacle) (117/100 with 888Starz)
Both Halves Under 1.5 Goals – Yes: Two goals in a single half of football could end this ticket horribly, but with the odds on offer, it’s well worth a punt. (160/100 with Betway) (162/100 with Pinnacle) (161/100 with 888Starz)
Anytime Goalscorer – Nick Woltemade: The German striker is in fine form and also on penalty duty, making this another enticing option. (210/100 with Betway) (211/100 with Pinnacle) (213/100 with 888Starz)
PREDICTION: Draw
Newcastle and Brighton both enter this fixture with clear strengths but also notable vulnerabilities that could possibly set the stage for a cagey and closely contested affair, which in all likelihood ends in a low-scoring draw.
Brighton have played host to Newcastle eight times in the Premier League, having won on three occasions, including five draws. Meanwhile, Newcastle’s defence has been tough to unlock this season after keeping five clean sheets in their seven EPL matches.
Brighton’s resilience on home soil, combined with Newcastle’s recent defensive solidity, suggests neither side will easily break the deadlock.

Bryan is a passionate sports writer with a focus on football and cricket. While he loves top leagues like the UEFA Champions League, La Liga, and the Premier League, he also covers lesser-known leagues, offering previews and tips for sports betting sites.
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