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Newcastle vs Wolves Preview: Odds, Tips and Prediction

Date: Saturday, 13 September 2025 Kickoff Time: 15:00 BST Venue: St James’ Park SportsBoom previews Newcastle vs Wolverhampton Wanderers in the Premier League on Saturday, 13 September 2025. The Magpies are stuck in first gear, while Wolves have been their usual cocktail of chaos, occasional goals, and plenty of soft defending. For Premier League betting fans, this could be one of those matches where one side dominates possession and the other clings on for dear life.

Ryan Liberty
Ryan Liberty

Last updated: 2025-09-10

Chad Nagel

5 minutes read

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Newcastle United's English head coach Eddie Howe

Newcastle United's English head coach Eddie Howe//Getty Images

Pre-Game Outlook: Newcastle Looking for Spark, Wolves Still Flimsy

Newcastle have started the season like a side carrying a hangover. A steady draw at Villa was followed by a 3-2 collapse against Liverpool and then a drab 0-0 at Leeds. Two goals scored in three matches is not the form of a side with European ambitions. Losing Alexander Isak to Liverpool has taken away their cutting edge, and Anthony Gordon is banned for three matches after his red card against Liverpool. Howe is juggling lineups with Joelinton out injured, Sandro Tonali being carefully managed, and Fabian Schär only just back after concussion.

Wolves are no better off. Three games, three defeats, and a defence that has shipped eight goals already. City toyed with them, Bournemouth took advantage, and Everton nicked three points in a five-goal mess. Jørgen Strand Larsen remains their only consistent threat, but he is also the centre of a transfer saga after Wolves rejected a £55m bid from this weekend’s opponent. He is expected to start, but the question is whether his head is in the game.

Pre-Game Odds and Win Probability: Magpies the Clear Pick

  1. Newcastle: 4/7 (1.57) – 63%

  2. Draw: 29/10 (3.90) – 26%

  3. Wolves: 9/2 (5.50) – 18%

    Odds courtesy of Stake, subject to change

Head-to-Head Record

Last Five Meetings (Premier League):

  1. 15 Jan 2025: Newcastle 3-0 Wolves

  2. 15 Sep 2024: Wolves 1-2 Newcastle

  3. 02 Mar 2024: Newcastle 3-0 Wolves

  4. 28 Oct 2023: Wolves 2-2 Newcastle

  5. 12 Mar 2023: Newcastle 2-1 Wolves

    Played 20 | Newcastle Wins: 7 | Wolves Wins: 2 | Draws: 11

Newcastle: Current Form – DLD

The Magpies have been frustrating to watch. A goalless draw at Villa was followed by a chaotic 3-2 defeat at home to Liverpool, before they failed to score again at Leeds. Without Isak, who has left for Liverpool, they lack a natural finisher. Gordon’s suspension only makes it worse.

The midfield at least still has quality. Tonali, if fit, adds structure, while Bruno Guimarães continues to carry too much responsibility. Jacob Ramsey looked lively in his full debut and Will Osula could get the nod up front. Newcastle’s xG of 2.87 suggests goals should be coming, but fans are tired of hearing about expected goals when the scoreboard keeps reading zero.

Key Players to Watch

  • Will Osula: Inheriting the striker role with Isak gone. Big pressure for a young forward, but his showing against a team defending champions Liverpool promise big things to come.
  • Sandro Tonali: His passing and composure will be crucial if he is fully fit.
  • Jacob Ramsey: Offers energy and a link to the attack that Newcastle have been missing, and Howe’s faith in him has been repaid with very promising showings thus far.

Newcastle Team News

Newcastle will have to make do without several key men. Alexander Isak has already been sold to Liverpool, Anthony Gordon begins his three-match suspension, and Joelinton remains sidelined with a groin injury. Sandro Tonali is being carefully managed after a shoulder problem but is expected to feature, while Fabian Schär has cleared concussion protocols and should return to the back line. Jacob Ramsey is set to keep his place after an energetic full debut, and summer signing Malick Thiaw is pushing to make his first start.

Wolves: Current Form – LLL

Wolves are a study in self-inflicted problems. City swatted them aside, Bournemouth picked them off, and Everton beat them in a game where defending seemed optional. Eight goals conceded in three matches is all the evidence you need.

Strand Larsen is the main talking point. He wanted the move, Newcastle wanted him, Wolves will not sell, and in the now he must lead the line against the very side chasing him. New Zimbabwean attacker Marshall Munetsi has been asked to fulfil the role of two massive departures. Gomes returns to restore some bite in midfield alongside Toti Gomes, who served his suspension and slots back in to bring the energy to a lacklustre Wolves midfield.

Key Players to Watch

  • Jørgen Strand Larsen: Wolves’ only reliable scorer and the subject of Newcastle’s rejected £55m bid, he should get the minutes, and he will show why Newcastle wanted him to replace Isak.
  • Marshall Munetsi: Direct and dangerous but needs better finishing, his assist against Everton was a cross many would struggle to make, expect more from the Zimbabwean.
  • João Gomes: The Wolves player of the 24/25 season brings energy and aggression in midfield, but that form has seemingly evaporated with the departure of Cunha and Fabio Silva, he needs to find new connections.

Wolves Team News

Strand Larsen is expected to start despite Newcastle’s transfer interest failing, with the Norwegian leading the line once again. João Gomes, David Moller Wolfe, and Marshall Munetsi were rested in midweek but what the international break had in store for them could prove challenging. Toti Gomes is also available again after serving his suspension and featured against Everton. 

Predicted Line-Up

  1. Newcastle (4-3-3):
    Pope; Trippier, Schär, Burn, Livramento; Tonali, Guimarães, Ramsey; Elanga, Osula, Barnes

  2. Wolves (3-4-3):
    Sa; Doherty, Toti, Agbadou; Tchatchoua, Andre, Gomes, Wolfe; Munetsi, Strand Larsen, Hwang

Suggested Bets

Checking the betting rules for markets like win combinations, both teams to score, and goalscorer bets ensures clarity on how wagers are settled across different sportsbooks.

  1. Newcastle to Win: Wolves’ defence is too fragile to survive 90 minutes here.
    4/7 (1.57) – 63% with 1xBet

  2. Both Teams to Score – Yes: Newcastle are leaky, Wolves at least carry a threat.
    11/10 (2.10) – 47.6% with Betandyou

  3. Over 2.5 Goals: With both back lines prone to errors, this could open up quickly.
    10/11 (1.91) – 52.4% with Stake

Value Bets

New customers can use a sign up bonus to add extra value when backing options like goalscorers, first-half totals, or assist markets.

  1. Will Osula Anytime Goalscorer: Given the striker role, he has to deliver.
    11/2 (6.50) – 13.0% with Betandyou

  2. Correct Score 2-1 Newcastle: Wolves can score, but Newcastle have more about them.
    8/1 (9.00) – 11.1% BetWinner

  3. Strand Larsen Anytime Goalscorer: Wants out, but still Wolves’ most dangerous player.
    12/5 (3.40) – 29.4% Betway 

Prediction: Newcastle to Finally Turn the Corner

Newcastle have been toothless without Isak, but Wolves are the perfect visitors to help them rediscover their bite. Howe’s side still have enough creativity and energy to find goals, while Wolves look destined to concede at least once or twice every week. Expect a nervous, scrappy match with Newcastle edging it while Wolves leave with yet another hard-luck story.

Ryan Liberty
Ryan LibertyBetting Writer

Ryan Liberty is an experienced sports writer whose articles have featured in some of the biggest sports publications in South Africa. With a strong understanding of all major sports and an in-depth understanding of betting, Ryan consistently delivers insightful content. He's also known for his ability to break down complex topics into engaging, reader-friendly pieces.