Darts
Premier League Darts: Luke Littler vs Luke Humphries Preview: Odds, Tips and Prediction
Date: Thursday 15th May 2025 Start time: 8:45 pm local time Venue: P&J Live, Aberdeen Last meeting: April 10, 2025, Premier League Night 10, Luke Humphries 6-4 Luke Littler Luke Littler and Luke Humphries face off in the final quarter-final match on Night 15 of the Premier League.
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Luke Humphries during his match against Gerwyn Price//Getty Images
Luke Littler and Luke Humphries face off in the final quarter-final match on Night 15 of the Premier League. Both Littler and Humphries are the leading two players in the division, with the former having already qualified for the playoffs. This matchup is seen as one of the greatest modern-day rivalries that know each other’s strengths and weaknesses on the big stage. Will we see Humphries produce an important win to book his place?
SportsBoom provides the best insights into the two best players in the world, sharing all the important details ahead of this matchup on Thursday night. We have spent time extensively researching both players, sharing recent head-to-head forms and results, as well as offering our valued bets and conclusions.
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Pre-Game Odds and Win Probability
Luke Littler the clear favourite to win.
Luke Humphries: 8/5 (2.60) – 38.5%
Luke Littler: 1/2 (1.50) – 66.7%
Forecast odds – Betting available on 1Win closer to event
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Head-to-Head Record
Luke Humphries and Luke Littler have played each other in multiple major televised finals in the last 18 months, including the World Championship final and the 2024 Premier League final.
Due to both players being the standout operators in the league this year, the world number one and two have met five times this Premier League campaign thus far. Littler has won three of the games, including two finals, whereas Humphries has the upper hand in a final, too.
Last Three Matches
| Tournament | Stage | Score line |
| 2025 Premier League Darts Night 10 | Semi-Finals | Luke Humphries 6-4 Luke Littler |
| 2025 Premier League Darts Night 8 | Final | Luke Littler 6-1 Luke Humphries |
| 2025 Premier League Darts Night 6 | Quarter-finals | Luke Littler 6-4 Luke Humphries |
| 2025 Premier League Darts Night 4 | Final | Luke Humphries 6-4 Luke Littler |
| 2025 Premier League Darts Night 2 | Final | Luke Littler 6-5 Luke Humphries |
Player Career Timeline
Luke Littler
- Current Ranking: 2
- Premier League best result: Winner (2024)
The reigning Premier League champion Luke Littler has already booked himself into finals night for the second year in a row, in addition to winning five Nightly wins, a new record since the new format was introduced.
Incredibly, Littler has only lost eight games this campaign, the only player to lose in single digits across the tournament thus far. The 18-year-old continues to break more and more records given his mesmerising rise to the very top.
2025 Premier League results
- Night 1 (Belfast) – Quarterfinalist
- Night 2 (Glasgow) – Winner
- Night 3 (Dublin) – Quarterfinalist
- Night 4 (Exeter) – Runners-Up
- Night 5 (Brighton) – Winner
- Night 6 (Nottingham) – Runners-Up
- Night 7 (Cardiff) – Winner
- Night 8 (Newcastle) – Winner
- Night 9 (Berlin) – Quarterfinalist
- Night 10 (Manchester) – Semi-finalist
- Night 11 (Rotterdam) – Semi-finalist
- Night 12 (Liverpool) – Quarterfinalist
- Night 13 (Birmingham) – Winner
Last 5 TV Tournament Runs
- 2025 UK Open – 5th Round
- 2025 Winmau World Masters – 2nd Round
- 2025 World Darts Championship – Runners-up
- 2024 Players Championship Finals – 1st Round
- 2024 Grand Slam of Darts – Round Robin
Last 5 Non-TV Tournament Runs
- 2025 Players Championship 10 – Quarter-Final
- 2025 Players Championship 9 – Last 32
- 2025 Players Championship 6 – Last 64
- 2025 Players Championship 5 – Semi-Final
- 2025 Belgian Darts Open – Winner
Luke Humphries
- Current Ranking: 1
- Premier League best result: Runners-up (2024)
Luke Humphries is on the brink of confirming his place at the O2 Arena, and a win against his arch-rival Littler on Thursday should escalate this. Humphries has won two Nights and reached four further finals, and has occupied either first or second in the league this campaign.
Aside from the Premier League, the Newbury-born star has won events this year, both on TV and on the ProTour, further showing that he deserves his number one status despite the strong form of his opponent, too.
2025 Premier League results
- Night 1 (Belfast) – Winner
- Night 2 (Glasgow) – Final
- Night 3 (Dublin) – Semi-Final
- Night 4 (Exeter) – Winner
- Night 5 (Brighton) – Quarter-Final
- Night 6 (Nottingham) Quarter-Final
- Night 7 (Cardiff) – Quarter-Final
- Night 8 (Newcastle) – Finalist
- Night 9 (Berlin) – Semi-Final
- Night 10 (Manchester) – Runners-Up
- Night 11 (Rotterdam) – Quarter-Final
- Night 12 (Liverpool) – Final
- Night 13 (Birmingham) – Quarter-Final
Last 5 TV Tournament Runs
- 2025 UK Open – Quarterfinalist
- 2025 Winmau World Masters – Winner
- 2025 World Darts Championship – 4th Round
- 2024 Players Championship Finals – Winner
- 2024 Grand Slam of Darts – Round Robin
Last 5 Non-TV Tournament Runs
- 2025 European Darts Trophy – Quarter-Final
- 2025 Players Championship 6 – Final
- 2025 Players Championship 5 – Last 32
- 2025 Players Championship 1 – Winner
- 2024 Czech Open – Winner
Value Bets
Luke Humphries – Highest Checkout: Luke Humphries is one of two players not to have hit a 170 checkout this Premier League, but when there’s a three-dart outshot available, more often than not, he is successful in producing remarkable checkouts.
Luke Littler – Highest 180s: Luke Littler’s scoring is an area in his game that has been absolutely remarkable this campaign, producing an incredible 141 180s, with Humphries only scoring 73 maximums. This difference makes it an easy prediction.
Total 180s: Over 5.5: Both players always bring out the best in each other, therefore, we believe this matchup will see over 5.5 180s between them. Considering this is a best-of-11 legs match, it’s hard to know how many legs will be played, but we believe the total maximum count will be high all the same.
Prediction: Luke Littler to win
In conclusion, we have selected Luke Littler to win. This game will be an absolute spectacle, considering how both players have captured the imagination of the public in recent times, and we believe Littler will be gunning for a record-extending sixth Nightly win.
Henry Cheal is a versatile freelance sports journalist with extensive experience in the industry. Henry has previously worked at the 2024 World Snooker Championship and earned a Multimedia Sports Journalism degree from UCFB in 2023.
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