Darts
Premier League Darts: Michael van Gerwen vs Nathan Aspinall Odds, Tips and Prediction
Date: Thursday 15th May 2025 Start time: 7:15 pm local time Venue: P&J Live, Aberdeen Last meeting: April 10, 2025, Premier League Night 10, Nathan Aspinall 6-2 Michael van Gerwen It’s crunch time in the Premier League as Michael van Gerwen and Nathan Aspinall kick off Night 15.
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Michael van Gerwen//Getty Images
It’s crunch time in the Premier League as Michael van Gerwen and Nathan Aspinall kick off Night 15. Both players are extremely close to each other in the league, and this would be seen as a must-win game for both parties. Will Van Gerwen produce the goods, or can Aspinall make it three wins in a row against the seven-time Premier League winner?
SportsBoom is the best in the business for all things darts. We have crafted together this detailed preview that looks into both players, their seasons so far, their head-to-head record and their 2025 Premier League records too. This vital information results in us sharing our best-valued bets before offering our prediction.
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Pre-Game Odds and Win Probability
Michael van Gerwen slight favourite to win.
Michael van Gerwen: 4/6 (1.67) – 60.0%
Nathan Aspinall: 6/5 (2.20) – 45.5%
Forecast odds – Betting available on 1Win closer to event
For a detailed breakdown of features and offerings, see our full 1Win bookmaker review.
Head-to-Head Record
As previously stated, Nathan Aspinall could win three in a row against Michael van Gerwen. When both players have faced off in recent times, their last five games have all arrived in the Premier League, in front of the biggest stages each week.
This couldn’t be more fitting, considering both players always express their love for playing in front of the big crowds. Van Gerwen will want to stop the rot.
Last Five Matches
| Tournament | Stage | Score line |
| 2025 Premier League Night 10 | Semi-finals | Nathan Aspinall 6-2 Michael van Gerwen |
| 2025 Premier League Night 8 | Quarter-finals | Nathan Aspinall 6-5 Michael van Gerwen |
| 2025 Premier League Night 6 | Quarter-finals | Michael van Gerwen 6-4 Nathan Aspinall |
| 2025 Premier League Night 3 | Semi-finals | Nathan Aspinall 6-3 Michael van Gerwen |
| 2024 Premier League Night 11 | Quarter-finals | Michael van Gerwen 6-4 Nathan Aspinall |
Player Career Timeline
Nathan Aspinall
- Current Ranking: 8
- Premier League best result: Runners-up (2020)
Nathan Aspinall sits in fifth place in the table as the Premier League reaches its final weeks. The Stockport-born star is one point behind his opponent, Michael van Gerwen, and three points behind his fellow rival Gerwyn Price.
Aspinall heads into this matchup showing important form, earning points in three of his last four weeks, putting him in contention to feature at the O2 Arena once again.
Away from the Premier League exhibition, he is playing at a high standard in the European Tour and floor events, reaching finals and looks far superior to his form from 2024. He picked up his first European Tour title, too, winning the European Darts Trophy.
2025 Premier League results
- Night 1 (Belfast) – Quarter-Final
- Night 2 (Glasgow) – Quarter-Final
- Night 3 (Dublin) – Runners-Up
- Night 4 (Exeter) – Semi-Final
- Night 5 (Brighton) – Runners-Up
- Night 6 (Nottingham) Quarter-Final
- Night 7 (Cardiff) – Quarter-Final
- Night 8 (Newcastle) – Semi-Final
- Night 9 (Berlin) – Quarter-Final
- Night 10 (Manchester) – Winner
- Night 11 (Rotterdam) – Semi-Final
- Night 12 (Liverpool) – Quarter-Final
- Night 13 (Birmingham) – Semi-Final
Last 5 TV Tournament Runs
- 2025 UK Open – Quarterfinalist
- 2025 Winmau World Masters – Quarterfinalist
- 2025 World Darts Championship – Quarterfinalist
- 2024 Players Championship Finals – 2nd Round
- 2024 Grand Slam of Darts – Did Not Qualify
Last 5 Non-TV Tournament Runs
- 2025 Players Championship 13 – Final
- 2025 International Darts Open – Final
- 2025 Players Championship 10 – Last 128
- 2025 Players Championship 9 – Last 32
- 2025 European Darts Trophy – Winner
Michael van Gerwen
- Current Ranking: 3
- Premier League best result: Winner (2013, 2016, 2017, 2018, 2019, 2022 and 2023)
Michael van Gerwen made it to his second Nightly final of this year’s competition last time out in Birmingham, earning a crucial three points for his play-off ambitions. Shockingly, the Dutchman has yet to pick up a Nightly win this campaign, therefore, it’s hard to tell where he could end up after the 16 weeks of action.
Away from the oche, a freak accident led to a shoulder injury, and Van Gerwen looks slightly out of sorts. His form is evidently not as strong as in yesteryears, but he will always show a fighting spirit to regain his confidence.
2025 Premier League results
- Night 1 (Belfast) – Semi-finalist
- Night 2 (Glasgow) – Semi-finalist
- Night 3 (Dublin) – Semi-finalist
- Night 4 (Exeter) – Quarterfinalist
- Night 5 (Brighton) – Semi-finalist
- Night 6 (Nottingham) – Semi-finalist
- Night 7 (Cardiff) – Finalist
- Night 8 (Newcastle) – Quarterfinalist
- Night 9 (Berlin) – Withdrew
- Night 10 (Manchester) – Semi-finalist
- Night 11 (Rotterdam) – Quarterfinalist
- Night 12 (Liverpool) – Semi-finalist
- Night 13 (Birmingham) – Finalist
Last 5 TV Tournament Runs
- 2025 UK Open – 5th Round
- 2025 Winmau World Masters – 2nd Round
- 2025 World Darts Championship – Runners-up
- 2024 Players Championship Finals – 1st Round
- 2024 Grand Slam of Darts – Round Robin
Last 5 Non-TV Tournament Runs
- 2025 Players Championship 14 – Last 16
- 2025 Players Championship 13 – Last 128
- 2025 Players Championship 12 – Last 128
- 2025 Players Championship 11 – Last 128
- 2025 European Darts Trophy – Semi-Final
Value Bets
Nathan Aspinall – Highest Checkout: When on song, one of Nathan Aspinall’s strengths in his game is producing a high checkout in crucial moments. He has a lot of bottle, and you can tell he fights for every dart he throws, leading us to believe he will throw the highest checkout.
Nathan Aspinall – Highest 180s: Again, we’ve selected Aspinall, this time to be the heavy hitter, though it will be a close one due to both being able to produce immense scoring.
Total 180s: Over 4.0: Both players haven’t played well in the averages in recent weeks, leading us to predict over 4 180s in this game.
Prediction: Nathan Aspinall to win
In conclusion, SportsBoom predicts Nathan Aspinall to complete the job, but it should be a close game. Four of the last five games involve epic, close-knit battles, leaving us to believe Aspinall will edge it.
Henry Cheal is a versatile freelance sports journalist with extensive experience in the industry. Henry has previously worked at the 2024 World Snooker Championship and earned a Multimedia Sports Journalism degree from UCFB in 2023.