Football
Sevilla vs Real Madrid Preview: Odds, Tips and Prediction
Date: Sunday, 18 May 2025 Kickoff Time: 19:00 UCT Venue: Estadio Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan, Seville SportsBoom previews the La Liga clash between Sevilla and Real Madrid at Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan on Sunday, 18 May 2025. With Sevilla flirting with relegation and Real Madrid chasing the title, fans following La Liga football betting are eyeing this matchup closely. For deeper betting breakdowns, visit our La Liga betting page
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Kylian Mbappe celebrates scoring his team's third goal.jpg
Sevilla, sitting perilously close to the relegation zone, are in desperate need of points. Their recent form has been less than inspiring, with just one win in their last five matches. On the other hand, Real Madrid are determined to keep their title hopes alive, making this encounter a classic case of desperation meeting determination.
Historically, La Liga head-to-head records between these two sides heavily favour Real Madrid, weaving in another thread of challenge for the hosts.
Pre-Game Odds and Win Probability: Madrid Clear Favourites
Real Madrid: 1.67 (4/6) – 59.9%
Draw: 4.10 (31/10) – 24.4%
Sevilla: 4.75 (15/4) – 21.1%
*Odds courtesy of Betway, subject to change. For more football odds and insights, visit our online sports betting hub.
Head-to-Head Record
Last Five Meetings (La Liga):
22/12/24: Real Madrid 4-2 Sevilla
25/02/24: Real Madrid 1-0 Sevilla
21/10/23: Sevilla 1-1 Real Madrid
27/05/23: Sevilla 1-2 Real Madrid
22/10/22: Real Madrid 3-1 Sevilla
Sevilla Current Form – LLDWL
Sevilla's season has been a slow-motion car crash, and the brakes still haven't kicked in. Just one win in their last five – a narrow 1-0 over Las Palmas – is all they have to show for lately. Toss in losses to Celta Vigo and Osasuna, and you’ve got a team in trouble. To make matters worse, they've scored just twice in those five games and have looked increasingly disjointed in midfield.
Injuries haven’t helped. Key midfielders like Djibril Sow and Albert Sambi Lokonga have spent more time in the treatment room than on the pitch. New manager Joaquin Caparros might need a miracle (or three) to keep this side up. At this point, even a draw feels like a luxury.
Key Players to Watch
- Dodi Lukebakio: The Belgian winger brings pace and unpredictability down the flank. Sevilla needs him to cook if they want a chance of victory.
- Ivan Rakitic: The veteran still has that midfield wizardry in him. He will be a nuisance to the opposition with his creative play and goal threat.
- Orjan Nyland: He’s been Sevilla’s last line of defence far too often. Expect him to have another busy evening.
Sevilla Team News
Djibril Sow and Albert Sambi Lokonga are doubtful with ongoing injuries. Caparros will be forced to dig deep into his squad once again, with possible rotations to bring fresh legs.
Real Madrid Current Form – WLWWW
Real Madrid's title chase has stumbled after a chaotic 4-3 El Clasico loss to Barcelona, but they've still won four of their last five. They’re sitting second, trailing by a few points and a +35 goal difference. In those five matches, they’ve scored 12 goals and conceded just 5, showing that even with a few injuries, they remain lethal in the final third.
Even with half the squad taped together, they’re still grinding out wins thanks to Mbappe and Bellingham. Sevilla might hope for an upset, but let’s not kid ourselves: Madrid doesn't drop points here very often. They’ve made a habit of finishing strong when it counts, and this looks like another one of those runs.
Key Players to Watch
- Kylian Mbappe: A walking headline. If anyone’s opening the scoring, it’s probably him.
- Jude Bellingham: He’s been so good you forget he’s barely out of his teens. Expect him to run the show.
- Thibaut Courtois: Calm, collected, and usually in the right spot when things go south. And as for his shot-stopping, the Belgian no.1 is right up there among the best.
Real Madrid Team News
Real are still without Vinícius Jr. and Lucas Vázquez. The defence has seen better days too, with a few names questionable. Thankfully, the frontline's intact, and that's where it matters.
Predicted Line-Up
Sevilla (4-2-3-1):
Nyland; Navas, Badé, Gudelj, Acuña; Jordán, Rakitić; Lukebakio, Óliver Torres, Ocampos; En-NesyriReal Madrid (4-3-3):
Courtois; Carvajal, Militão, Alaba, Mendy; Camavinga, Modrić, Bellingham; Rodrygo, Mbappé, Brahim Díaz
Suggested Bets
Real Madrid to Win: Sevilla’s form is grim, and Madrid have more than enough firepower to bag all three points. 1.67 (4/6) – 59.9%
Over 2.5 Goals: Given Sevilla’s defensive frailties and Madrid’s attack, there should at least be three goals in the game. 1.65 (13/20) – 60.6%
Value Bets
For bettors exploring more adventurous football betting strategies, these long-shot picks may be worth considering:
Mbappe to Score First: He’s overdue for a spotlight goal. 5.00 (4/1) – 20%
Draw at Half-Time: Sevilla holds on early before fading late. The script writes itself. 2.20 (6/5) – 45.5%
Real Madrid to Win by Exactly One Goal: This bet offers nice value, so may be worth a punt if you expect a nervy finish. 3.75 (11/4) – 26.7%
Prediction: Real Madrid to Win
Among expert Sevilla vs Real Madrid predictions, a narrow away win is the consensus. Los Blancos should have too much firepower, even if Sevilla put up a brave fight. Expect a touch of drama, a moment of Mbappe brilliance, and another three points for Madrid.
Joshua Gaillard is a freelance editor and dedicated Arsenal fan, known for creating fact-based, insightful content. His work, featured on top South African websites, blends analysis with engaging storytelling for clear, impactful articles.