NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder vs Minnesota Timberwolves Odds, Tips and Prediction
Date: Sunday 1st June 2025 Start time: 8 pm local time (1 am BST) Venue: Paycom Center, Oklahoma City, Oklahoma Last regular season meeting: February 24, 2025, Minnesota Timberwolves 131-128 Oklahoma City Thunder The 2025 NBA Western Conference finals see the Minnesota Timberwolves and the Oklahoma City Thunder go head-to-head in a best-of-7 series. Both franchises have put in the hard work, but only one team will go through to compete in the NBA finals. This is a monumental moment for both teams, considering the Thunder (since the move from Seattle) and the Timberwolves have yet to win an NBA championship. Who will prevail in this series?
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Shai Gilgeous-Alexander of the Oklahoma City Thunder//Getty Images
SportsBoom offers a detailed preview of this matchup, focusing on all things relating to the Thunder and Timberwolves. This article reveals recent and historical head-to-head stats, before sharing important details about key players on both sides. After the facts, we will talk about our value bets before concluding with our final prediction.
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Pre-Game Odds and Win Probability
The Oklahoma City Thunder are the favourites for this matchup.
Minnesota Timberwolves: 2.25 (5/4) – 44.4%
Oklahoma City Thunder: 1.65 (13/20) – 60.6%
Forecast odds – Betting available on 1Win closer to event
(See our full 1Win review for platform insights.)
Head-to-Head Record
Throughout regular-season history, this particular fixture always delivers fireworks. This game has seen a total of 140 matches played, and the results heavily favour the Oklahoma City Thunder. This organization has won 92 matches, whereas the Minnesota Timberwolves have picked up only 48.
Despite this far superior winning record for the Thunder, the Timberwolves have won three of their last five games, showcasing that this side has what it takes to beat superior opposition.
Last Five Matches
| Season | Date | Result |
| 2024/25 Season | February 24, 2025 | Minnesota Timberwolves 131-128 Oklahoma City Thunder |
| 2024/25 Season | February 23, 2025 | Oklahoma City Thunder 130-123 Minnesota Timberwolves |
| 2024/25 Season | February 13, 2025 | Minnesota Timberwolves 116-101 Oklahoma City Thunder |
| 2024/25 Season | December 31, 2024 | Oklahoma City Thunder 113-105 Minnesota Timberwolves |
| 2023/24 Season | January 29, 2024 | Minnesota Timberwolves 107-101 Oklahoma City Thunder |
How is the season so far for both teams?
Oklahoma City Thunder
- Record: 68-14
- Home Form: 35-6
- Road Form: 32-8
The Oklahoma City Thunder finished the Western Conference on top after recording a mightily impressive campaign, finishing with a 68-14 record. The organization whitewashed the Memphis Grizzlies and defeated the Denver Nuggets 4-3 to reach the Conference finals. No doubt, the City Thunder will be the favourites to reach the NBA finals, but the Timberwolves are no easy task.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander finished the season as the NBA’s Most Valuable Player, notching up an incredible statline of 32.7 points, 5 rebounds and 6.4 assists per game. His scoring placed him as the highest during the regular season, making him a well-deserved winner for the award. In the postseason, he’s averaged 29.8 points, 5.6 rebounds and 6.7 assists, keeping up the high standard of play.
Jalen Williams continues to impress year on year as he averaged 21.6 points, 5.3 rebounds and 5.1 assists in his third year in the sport. He’s been an integral part of the squad for this year’s campaign, and the 24-year-old continues to shine in the playoffs, scoring 19.6 points, in addition to 5.7 assists and 5.6 rebounds per game.
Minnesota Timberwolves
- Record: 49-33
- Home Form: 25-16
- Road Form: 24-17
The Minnesota Timberwolves squeezed into the final playoff place on the final day of the regular season, finishing sixth after an impressive showing in form in the build-up. The Timberwolves comfortably dispatched the two Californian teams, the Los Angeles Lakers and the Golden State Warriors, to reach back-to-back Western Conference finals.
At the forefront of the organization’s scoring output, Anthony Edwards is proving his worth after an impressive season. In the regular season, he averaged 27.6 points, 5.7 rebounds and 4.5 assists per game, posting his career best numbers at shooting. The 23-year-old isn’t quite up to his same level in previous postseason campaigns, scoring-wise, with only 25.7 points, but he is averaging a postseason high of 8.1 rebounds.
Julius Randle is the franchise’s next leading scorer. He only averaged 18.7 points per game, his lowest in over five years in the regular season, which is a surprising figure considering his capabilities. However, he has elevated his game to greater extremes in the playoffs, averaging an impressive 22.8 points, in addition to 6 rebounds and 5.4 assists. His impact could make all the difference as the Timberwolves have to rely on two key shooters to make the difference against one of the best defences.
Value Bets
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Over 30 Points and Over 8 Assists
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is our first value bet because he always delivers blockbuster performances against the Minnesota Timberwolves. In ten of his last 11 matches, he’s posted 30 or more points in each game. It’s undeniable he is one of the best scorers in the league, and this leads us to choose these numbers. In addition, he has posted at least eight assists in five of his last seven games.
Anthony Edwards: Over 20 Points and Over 7 Rebounds
Anthony Edwards’ influence in the Timberwolves dressing room isn’t to be underestimated, but we predict slightly fewer numbers for this fixture. He’s averaged over 20 points in seven of his last ten games against the Thunder, leaving us to assume he will replicate this feat. Edwards will be a key factor on both sides of the court in this game, as we expect him to post at least seven rebounds.
Prediction: Oklahoma City Thunder to win
In conclusion, SportsBoom predicts that the Oklahoma City Thunder will prevail. It’s an extremely close one to call, but the Thunder look unstoppable, and Gilgeous-Alexander is an exceptional player who could make all the difference. The stakes are high for this one and the Thunder play with such maturity.For fans looking to raise the stakes themselves, there are several betting sites with welcome bonus that offer a great way to get started.
Henry Cheal is a versatile freelance sports journalist with extensive experience in the industry. Henry has previously worked at the 2024 World Snooker Championship and earned a Multimedia Sports Journalism degree from UCFB in 2023.
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