Darts
Premier League Darts: Michael van Gerwen vs Chris Dobey Odds, Tips and Prediction
Date: Thursday, 11th April 2025 Start time: 7:15 pm local time Venue: AO Arena, Manchester Last meeting: March 20, 2025, Premier League Night 7, Michael van Gerwen 6-1 Chris Dobey Michael van Gerwen and Chris Dobey kickstart Night 10 of the Premier League Darts as they face off in the first quarter-final match. The Dutchman returns to the fold after he missed the previous week in Berlin, whereas Dobey looks to find his feet after a difficult campaign thus far. Both players are fourth and seventh, respectively, with Dobey needing a strong result to remain in playoff contention.
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2025 BetMGM Premier League Darts - Cardiff/Getty Images
SportsBoom is at the forefront of the darting action previewing this encounter. We aim to share the most valuable details ahead of this matchup, looking more into both players and their recent form and head-to-head before disclosing the best-valued bets and sharing our conclusions.
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Pre-Game Odds and Win Probability
Chris Dobey: 4/1 (5.00) – 20%
Michael van Gerwen: 1/5 (1.20) – 83.3%
Forecast odds – Betting available on 1Win closer to event
Head-to-Head Record
Michael van Gerwen is in dominant form against Chris Dobey, winning four of the last five games in dominant style. He won three games with relative ease, but his standout win was at the 2025 World Championship, where he dominated 6-1 in sets to reach another final.
Both players will be hungry to get their Thursday night off to a winning start, especially Dobey, who is looking to end the year-long winless drought against Van Gerwen.
Last Five Matches
| Tournament | Stage | Score line |
| 2025 Premier League Night 7 | Semi-finals | Michael van Gerwen 6-1 Chris Dobey |
| 2025 Premier League Night 3 | Quarterfinals | Michael van Gerwen 6-4 Chris Dobey |
| 2025 World Championship | Semi-finals | Michael van Gerwen 6-1 Chris Dobey |
| 2024 European Tour 7 | Quarter-finals | Michael van Gerwen 6-1 Chris Dobey |
| 2024 Players Championship 4 | Last 16 | Chris Dobey 6-0 Michael van Gerwen |
Player Career Timeline
Michael van Gerwen
Current Ranking: 3
Premier League best result: Winner (2013, 2016, 2017, 2018, 2019, 2022 and 2023)
2025 Premier League results:
Night 1 (Belfast) – Semi-finalist
Night 2 (Glasgow) – Semi-finalist
Night 3 (Dublin) – Semi-finalist
Night 4 (Exeter) – Quarterfinalist
Night 5 (Brighton) – Semi-finalist
Night 6 (Nottingham) – Semi-finalist
Night 7 (Cardiff) – Finalist
Night 8 (Newcastle) – Quarterfinalist
Night 9 (Berlin) – Withdrew
Michael van Gerwen is still searching for his first Nightly win of the campaign, and to the surprise of many, he has only reached one final. As a result, he’s only fourth in the league, especially considering his notorious record at this very tournament.
The Dutchman has produced some great performances but also displayed some inconsistent averages, meaning it is unclear which game will arrive when it’s time for toe to the oche.
Last 5 TV Tournament Runs:
2025 UK Open – 5th Round
2025 Winmau World Masters – 2nd Round
2025 World Darts Championship – Runners-up
2024 Players Championship Finals – 1st Round
2024 Grand Slam of Darts – Round Robin
Last 5 Non-TV Tournament Runs:
2025 European Darts Trophy – Semi-Final
2025 Players Championship 7 – Last 128
2025 Players Championship 6 – Last 64
2025 Players Championship 5 – Quarter Final
2025 Belgian Darts Open – Last 32
Chris Dobey
Current Ranking: 9
Premier League best result: 7th (2023)
2025 Premier League results:
Night 1 (Belfast) – Runners-Up
Night 2 (Glasgow) – Quarterfinalist
Night 3 (Dublin) – Quarterfinalist
Night 4 (Exeter) – Quarterfinalist
Night 5 (Brighton) – Quarterfinalist
Night 6 (Nottingham) – Quarterfinalist
Night 7 (Cardiff) – Semi-finalist
Night 8 (Newcastle) – Quarterfinalist
Night 9 (Berlin) – Semi-finalist
Chris Dobey needs to pick up points fast to bolster his playoff chances. It’s evident that he is one of the best in the world, but he’s struggling in this year’s competition. Dobey has a good chance to win against Van Gerwen this Thursday due to his shoulder injury. Will the Geordie prevail here despite winning one of his last five games?
Despite the struggling form, Dobey’s form is ever present in other TV tournaments and on the ProTour. A life-changing semi-final at the most recent World Championships and two-floor finals show that he is playing at a very good standard.
Last 5 TV Tournament runs:
2025 UK Open – 5th Round
2025 Winmau World Masters – 1st Round
2025 World Darts Championship – Semi-Final
2024 Players Championship Finals – 1st Round
2024 Grand Slam of Darts – Did Not Qualify
Last 5 Non-TV Tournament runs:
2025 Players Championship 10 – Last 32
2025 Players Championship 9 – Last 64
2025 European Darts Trophy – Last 32
2025 Players Championship 6 – Last 64
2025 Players Championship 5 – Last 64
Value Bets
Michael van Gerwen – Highest Checkout
SportsBoom reckons Michael van Gerwen will end the match with the highest checkout attributed to his name. The Green Machine always finds a way to deliver to the big crowd week-in, week-out even if his form may be out of sorts; therefore, we predict him to come out on top here.
Chris Dobey – Highest 180s
Chris Dobey can be a heavy hitter when he’s on song and comfortable on the big stage, leaving us to predict he could come out on top here. His scoring will be needed on Thursday to defeat his opponent.
Total 180s: Over 4.0
We predict Michael van Gerwen and Chris Dobey to post at least 4 180s in this game. Considering past head-to-head games with very one-sided contests, this is why we have selected a smaller number than perhaps expected.
Prediction: Michael van Gerwen to win
Based on his dominant head-to-head record in recent times, we predict Michael van Gerwen will be victorious, providing that he isn’t injured ahead of this matchup. The Dutchman will aim to bounce back following a week away, which resulted in crucial points lost, therefore, he will be motivated to ensure he can sustain a playoff challenge as the competition heads closer to finals night at the O2.
For those looking to add extra excitement to the action, now could be a great time to take advantage of a sportsbook welcome bonus ahead of this pivotal clash.
Henry Cheal is a versatile freelance sports journalist with extensive experience in the industry. Henry has previously worked at the 2024 World Snooker Championship and earned a Multimedia Sports Journalism degree from UCFB in 2023.
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