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Michael van Gerwen vs Luke Humphries Preview: Odds, Tips and Prediction

Start Time: 19h15 (UK Time) Venue: United Kingdom What a clash this is squaring up to be. Michael van Gerwen faces off against Luke Humphries on Thursday, 8 May in the Premier League Darts. These two players are certainly titans within the world of darts and so it should not come as a surprise that fans are gearing up for a real showdown and a darts betting extravaganza.

Ryan Liberty
Ryan Liberty

Last Updated: 2025-05-05

Chad Nagel

3 minutes read

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Gerwyn Price celebrates beating Luke Humphries in the Premier League Darts final

Gerwyn Price celebrates beating Luke Humphries in the Premier League Darts final//Getty Images

Pre-Game Odds and Win Probability

Luke Humphries seems to be edging the betting at this point with many darts betting sites.

  1. Michael van Gerwen: 6/4 (2.5) – 40%

  2. Luke Humphries: 3/5 (1.60) – 60%

    *Odds courtesy of Betway, subject to change

Head-To-Head Record

Last three meetings (All competition)

  1. 06/02/2025: Van Gerwen 5–6 Humphries

  2. 21/07/2024: Humphries 18–15 Van Gerwen

  3. 23/05/2024: Humphries 10–5 Van Gerwen

Michael van Gerwen Current Form – WLLWL

In truth, Michael van Gerwen is struggling for form in recent weeks. The Dutch legend has suffered early exits from various tournaments and failed to find his usual consistent aggressiveness. 

He will know that he is up against a formidable opponent in Luke Humphries, and one wonders whether it is what he needs considering his seemingly complacent approach to his more recent encounters.

Michael van Gerwen News

MvG is still a player with incredible ability and skill. He is an absolute servant of the sport and an incredible example of real and authentic experiences for fans around the world. He remains determined to reclaim his ‘rightful’ place at the top of world darts. Describing his latest quest as “setting the record straight”.

Luke Humphries Current Form – WLWWW

In truth, Luke Humphries is in the greatest form on the darts circuit currently. At the time of writing, he leads the Premier League standings with multiple weekly wins and while he might have alluded to a potential burnout earlier this year – Humphries is still firing on all cylinders. 

He has dominated all of his recent encounters and we doubt this will be very different.

Luke Humphries News

Humphries continues to seemingly improve his game and add accolade after accolade to his CV. In the past nine months, he has won five major titles, and he is showing no indication of slowing down. 

Suggested Bets

  1. Match Winner (Luke Humphries): Humphries has dominated the encounters with Van Gerwen in recent meetings and doesn’t seem to be letting up. 3/5 (1.60) with 1xBet 

  2. Total Legs (Over 11.5): There is no denying that this will be a competitive encounter. Neither player is going to gift anything away and so backing over 11.5 legs seems more than viable. 17/20 (1.85) with Stake.

Value Bets

  1. First to Hit 180 (Michael van Gerwen): His aggressive start could see him find inclusion in the betting suggestions here, but there is plenty of value about MvG finding the first 180. 6/5 (2.20) with Betandyou.

  2. Correct Score (Humphries: 6-4): This is obviously a risky bet, but backing Humphries to edge this encounter by the odd leg offers plenty of value. 7/1 (8.0) with Pinnacle.

Prediction: Luke Humphries to Win

You simply have to consider Luke Humphries’ recent form alongside the head-to-head record he has over Michael van Gerwen. His performances have been consistent, and his textbook mental toughness is something we don’t always speak about enough. 

Back Humphries to close out this encounter in fine fashion. 

Ryan Liberty
Ryan LibertyBetting Writer

Ryan Liberty is an experienced sports writer whose articles have featured in some of the biggest sports publications in South Africa. With a strong understanding of all major sports and an in-depth understanding of betting, Ryan consistently delivers insightful content. He's also known for his ability to break down complex topics into engaging, reader-friendly pieces.