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Real Madrid vs Getafe Preview: Odds, Tips and Prediction

Real Madrid will welcome Getafe in what will surely become an incredibly competitive local derby in La Liga. The hosts will feel as though nothing but a win will suffice here, especially when they consider the proximity of Barcelona and Atletico Madrid. The visitors, however, are fighting for a mid-table finish and will know that they need to come away from this tough fixture with something to show for it. History suggests that the hosts often dominate this encounter, but counting out the chances of the visitors simply based on paper would be a terrible mistake to make. For fans wanting to enjoy a bet on this La Liga encounter, we suggest different online betting platforms for the best betting experience.

Ryan Liberty
Ryan Liberty

Last updated: 2026-02-25

Chad Nagel

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Vinicius Junior of Real Madrid

Vinicius Junior of Real Madrid//Getty Images

Pre-Game Odds and Win Probability: Madrid Heavy Favourites

  1. Real Madrid: 2/7 (1.29) – 77.5%

  2. Draw: 5/1 (6.00) – 16.7%

  3. Getafe: 12/1 (13.00) – 7.7%

    Odds courtesy of 1Win

Head-to-Head Record

  1. 19/10/2025: Getafe 0-1 Real Madrid 

  2. 23/04/2025: Getafe 0-1 Real Madrid 

  3. 01/12/2024: Real Madrid 2-0 Getafe 

  4. 01/02/2024: Getafe 0-2 Real Madrid 

  5. 02/09/2023: Real Madrid 2-1 Getafe 

Real Madrid Current Form – WWWWL

The hosts come into this fixture with a decent run of form, but they will know they cannot afford to drop any more domestic points after their last outing. There is no denying their attacking depth, but their defensive discipline often comes around in bouts. 

Nevertheless, the hosts will take confidence from their record at home. Averaging over two goals per home game and having managed to keep four clean sheets from their last six outings. They have big names for a reason and will likely hope to have their big names deliver on the biggest stage. 

Key Players to Watch

  • Jude Bellingham: The English midfielder often dictates the tempo of the game for Madrid, and his goal contribution continues to see him as a standout player even among the very best names in the global game.
  • Vinicius Junior: Even with all of the horrible experiences he has had to contend with off the pitch, he has remained a player of incredible talent, pace, and attacking flair. He will be one to watch, especially against a Getafe defensive system which comes across as rather static and pedestrian at that time. 
  • Federico Valverde: One of the reasons he will remain a player worth mentioning is that his work rate off the ball makes him incredibly valuable on this side. Aside from this, though, he is also a player worth keeping an eye on from in and around the box.

Real Madrid Team News

At the time of writing, the hosts are expected to be at full strength for this encounter. 

Getafe Current Form – LDDWW

They will always be a resilient team, even if their performances are somewhat inconsistent. They have steadily improved their attacking options, creating a lot more opportunities, but remaining rather vulnerable given their defensive lapses. 

In truth, they are a side who struggle on the road and now face a trip to one of the most daunting and difficult places to play football in Spain. They are tactically disciplined and are able to frustrate their opponents, but their defensive frailty leaves them vulnerable, and so backing goals in matches that involve them remains popular among punters. 

Key Players to Watch

  • Mauro Arambarri: He remains a goal threat through the midfield, dynamic movements, and box-to-box performances have endeared him to the Getafe faithful. Keep an eye on him here, especially in a local derby saturated with intensity. 
  • Luis Milla: He has slowly become a midfield enforcer. Offering defensive cover and often tasked with breaking up plays for the progression of the opponent. Against this Madrid side, he will have a big role, so keep an eye on him here. 
  • David Soria: While observing all respectful protocols here, Soria could be the busiest man on the pitch come Monday evening. He will need to register an impressive performance if his side is to remain competitive here. He will be one to keep an eye on here. 

Getafe Team News

At the time of writing, Getafe have no major suspensions or concerns coming into this encounter. This will no doubt be music to the ears of their fans and manager!

Predicted Line-Ups

  1. Real Madrid: Courtois, Carajal, Asencio, Alaba, Carreras, Valverde, Guler, Tchouameni, Camavinga, Mbappé, Vinicius Jr. 

  2. Getafe: Soria, Femenia, Duarte, Abqar, Romero, Iglesias, Milla, Djene, Arambarri, Vasquez, Satriano

Suggested Bets

These are our favoured betting options for this encounter. They are a brilliant option for users wanting to make good use of any opening promotion on established casino websites.

  1. Real Madrid to Win & Over 2.5 Goals – Madrid’s home scoring rate supports this combination. (4/6 with Stake).

  2. Both Teams to Score – No – Madrid have kept multiple home clean sheets recently. (4/5 with Pinnacle).

  3. Real Madrid -1.5 Handicap – Strong head-to-head dominance suggests a two-goal margin is possible. (19/20 with Stake). 

Value Bets

For punters wanting a bigger return and who aren’t afraid of a more volatile bet, consider our value bets ahead of this fixture. 

  1. Jude Bellingham Anytime Goalscorer – His late runs make him excellent value. (7/4 with Pinnacle). 

Prediction: Real Madrid to Win and Over 2.5 Goals 

The hosts' recent dominance in this fixture, combined with how impressive they have been at home this season make it difficult to see past their win in this encounter. The defensive structure of the visitors and the attacking quality inherent in this Real Madrid side make them a deserved overwhelming favourite. 

Expect the hosts to come out of the blocks early and match the physicality and intensity of the derby. 

Ryan Liberty
Ryan LibertySports Betting & Casino Editor

Ryan Liberty is an experienced sports writer whose articles have featured in some of the biggest sports publications in South Africa. With a strong understanding of all major sports and an in-depth understanding of betting, Ryan consistently delivers insightful content. He's also known for his ability to break down complex topics into engaging, reader-friendly pieces.

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