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FedEx St. Jude Championship 2025 Preview: Odds, Tips, & Predictions

Date: August 7-10 Venue: TPC Southwind, Memphis, USA Defending champion: Hideki Matsuyama After an absorbing campaign, the PGA Tour concludes with a three-tournament swing for the FedEx Cup playoffs, beginning this week with the FedEx St. Jude Championship. TPC Southwind will play host for this 70-man event, and gradual cuts will be made until the Tour Championship, where only 30 golfers will be involved. While some players had been on the bubble leading up to the Wyndham Championship, the FedEx Cup always provides intrigue, so expect to see a raft of prices plugged at the leading golf betting sites.

Charles Perrin
Charles Perrin

Last updated: 2025-08-04

Chad Nagel

5 minutes read

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Hideki Matsuyama holds the champion's trophy

Hideki Matsuyama/ Getty Images

Momentum is often key ahead of the FedEx Cup playoffs, and there is plenty on the line in Memphis, including 2,000 FedEx Cup points and a prize purse of $20 million.Hideki Matsuyama tamed TPC Southwind 12 months ago with an overall score of -17, but the back nine of this par-72 course can see the best come unstuck.But who will land the first blow in the FedEx Cup playoffs? We’ve got you covered with a full golf tournament preview complete with betting odds for you to savour.

FedEx St. Jude Championship Pre-Tournament Betting Odds and Win Probability

The FedEx St. Jude Championship sets the tone for the playoffs, but how does one of our recommended sports betting operators see things?

We’ve looked at the pre-tournament betting odds to pinpoint the shortest-priced players heading into the event.

  1. Scottie Scheffler – 19/5 (4.80) – 20.8%

  2. J.J. Spaun – 9/1 (10.00) – 10%

  3. Hideki Matsuyama – 12/1 (13.00) – 7.7%

  4. Odds courtesy of Betway, subject to change.

Key Player Updates

A win will be highly treasured by any one of the players in the field, and TPC Southwind can harvest some birdies.

Golf stats for betting are always worth tapping into, as they give an indicator of where a player’s game is at heading into a tournament. The following table highlights core strengths and weaknesses in relation to putting and driving.

Key Player Updates

AttributeScottie SchefflerJ.J. SpaunHideki Matsuyama
Age293433
World Ranking1912
Recent Wins111
Driving Accuracy62.16%61.41%56.14%
Greens in Regulation70.75%68.47%66.33%
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Contender News

After running through the stats, it’s time to run the rule over the key contenders in the field this week. Often, this information isn’t readily available at sites for betting on golf tournaments.

Ahead of the FedEx St. Jude Championship, we have dug into the recent form guide to influence our golf tournament predictions. Reading up on this will give you a greater chance of nailing your golf betting strategies.

Scottie Scheffler

A thorn in the field, Scottie Scheffler has a vice-like grip on the World No.1 spot, and he’s also the reigning FedEx Cup champion.

While his season hasn’t been as dominant in 2024, his victory at the Open Championship last week was another defining moment in what has already been an illustrious career.

Having skipped the Wyndham Championship, Scheffler will have benefited from the breather, but he needs a big push until the end of the season. Last year, Scheffler came fourth in the Fed Ex St. Jude Championship which bodes well, and he’s always a factor in the main events. Although his driving accuracy stats aren’t robust, there is a premium placed on precision play at TPC Southwind, so he could have some joy this week.

J.J. Spaun

While he wasn’t previously on our radar, J.J. Spaun has been gaining more traction, particularly from reputable golf bookmakers. The American announced himself with his maiden Major win at the US Open, and that has seen his confidence surge.

Although there was one missed cut at the Genesis Scottish Open, Spaun has largely been in and around the top 20, and there have been a couple of runner-up finishes too.

Spaun has proved to be a strong finisher of late, and at the Travelers Championship, he carded a round of 63. If he can execute with the flatstick, he could flourish this week.

Hideki Matsuyama

As the reigning champion, Hideki Matsuyama will have a target on his back, and the Japanese ace would love to get another win under his belt.

He hasn’t been to the winner’s circle since the opening weekend of the season. While he endured a malaise in March, Matsuyama has clocked up some decent results of late, including two top-20 finishes.

His driving can be erratic at times, but he knows his way around TPC Southwind, and with his formidable approach play, you wouldn’t want to discount him this week.

Suggested Bets

Golf betting sportsbooks will be well endowed with player specials to attract interest ahead of the biggest events.

The FedEx St. Jude Championship is no different, and we’ve sourced some more juicy golf betting odds to sink your teeth into which could be worth investigating.

  1. Scottie Scheffler to claim a top-10 finish: Scottie Scheffler is the most feared player on the circuit, but he can’t win every week! What has been guaranteed this season has been top 10 berths, and he has plenty to call on. In terms of golf betting tips, another top-10 finish for the American is too good to ignore! (4/5 with 1xBet).

  2. Hideki Matsuyama to be the first round leader: Last year, Hideki Matsuyama came racing out of the traps, firing a five-under-par round which provided the platform for his win. We think he could be too hot to handle in the opening round, and he could sit atop the summit of the leaderboard after Round 1 (2/1 with Sportsbet.io).

  3. J.J. Spaun Over 3.5 birdies in round 1: J.J. Spaun has been one of the surprise packages this term, but a birdie prop can be quite enticing, and it is available at the best betting sites for golf. If he finds his range, Over 3.5 birdies in the first round could represent value for money (6/4 with N1Bet).

Tournament Prediction

The FedEx St. Jude Championship isn’t necessarily suited to big hitters, but precision iron play is a must. This has been one of Scottie Scheffler’s core strengths, especially as he tops the ranking for SG: Approach to the Green and SG: Off the Tee. However, as formidable as he is, he can’t win every week.

Hideki Matsuyama may be the defending champion, but there are concerns about his driving, and he could find things tough going. Given the types of winners that have emerged in recent years, J.J. Spaun could be the surprise package, and he’s our pick to prevail this week.

Whether it is Spaun or anyone else in the field that takes your fancy, make sure to latch onto the best signup bonus sports betting offers to transform your betting experience.

Charles Perrin
Charles PerrinSports Writer

Charles Perrin is a highly experienced sports betting content writer with over six years of working with some of the leading sportsbooks in the UK, including bet365 and William Hill.

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