Rugby
Rugby
Match Preview
Gambling
News

Chile vs Brazil Preview: Odds, Tips and Predictions

Date: July 26, 2025 Kick off time: 15:00 CST Venue: Chile High Performance Rugby Centre, La Reina With South America’s 2027 Rugby World Cup qualifiers set to wrap up in October this year, Chile and Brazil will contest the second leg of their semi-final clash on July 26 in La Reina, Chile. Both teams would fancy their chances of meeting either Paraguay or Uruguay and moving closer to a spot on rugby’s grandest stage, with rugby league betting sites releasing Chile vs Brazil betting odds. The fourth round of the South American 2027 Rugby World Cup qualifiers is nearing its conclusion, with rugby betting sportsbooks watching as Brazil and Chile aim for a spot in the final, where the second continental qualification spot is up for grabs.

Bruce Douglas
Bruce Douglas

Last updated: 2025-07-24

Chad Nagel

7 minutes read

SportsBoom offers honest and impartial bookmaker reviews to help you make informed choices. While we may earn commissions through affiliate links, our content remains independent and free from promotional influence. For more information, see our Content Transparency and How We Review pages.

Martin Sigren of Chile wins the lineout for Chile

Martin Sigren /Getty Images

Before meeting the winner between Paraguay and Uruguay, Os Tupis and Los Condores must navigate the second leg of the semi-final, which takes place on July 26, following the first leg that took place in Sao Paolo a week earlier.

In the first leg on July 19, Chile outscored Brazil four tries to three to claim a 35-21 win at Estadio Nicolau Alayaon in Sao Paulo.

Pre-Game Odds and Win Probability: Brazil or Chile

Ahead of a crucial match for both nations’ World Cup aspirations, rugby betting tips are live with the best online sports betting sites.

  1. Home: 1/5 (1.20) – 83.3% 

  2. Away: 3/1 (4.00) – 25,0% 
    *Odds courtesy of 888Starz, subject to change

Head-to-Head Record

Last five international meetings

  1. 2024/10/06: Chile 36 - 10 Brazil

  2. 2022/08/20: Chile 28 - 9 Brazil

  3. 2022/08/18: Chile 36 - 27 Brazil

  4. 2020/10/25: Chile 26 - 13 Brazil

  5. 2019/03/02: Chile 10 - 15 Brazil

Chile Current Form – WLLWW

With giants Argentina having already qualified for the 2027 Rugby World Cup based on their performance in the 2023 edition, focus has shifted to the other South American teams as they battle for up to three remaining places.

Chile have a decent record from their recent international clashes, beginning with a comprehensive 44-14 thrashing of Canada in November 2024, and a 17-20 loss to the Netherlands a week later.

After a slim loss to Scotland A to round off their end-year international duties, Los Condores recorded a major victory over Romania (40-16) and are looking strong to advance. They faced Brazil again in the first leg of the qualifiers, taking the advantage after their away victory on July 19.

Nicolas Garafulic (R) of Chile scores a try during the Autumn International Series

Nicolas Garafulic (R) of Chile/ Getty Images

Key Players to Watch

  • Martin Sigren: The Chilean captain, who plays as lock, has demonstrated solid captaincy during the qualifier series and has also contributed tries for his country.
  • Auguste Bohme: The hooker has been reliable when defending and has also demonstrated strong offensive abilities, even crossing the line for Los Condores.
  • Nicolas Garafulic: One of Chile’s top scorers in their quest for a place in the 2027 World Cup, the winger contributed a brace in their most recent game.

Team News

Coach Pablo Lemoine is expected to stick with a similar squad from the semi-final away leg, with captain Clemente Saavedra picking up a yellow card and conceding a penalty try in the first leg.

Brazil Current Form – LWLLL

By comparison, Brazil have an inferior win-loss record but have still mustered some gutsy performances that have ignited belief in their ability to seal a spot on the global stage in two years’ time.

Os Tupis were defeated by Chile 10-36 In October 2024 and would be keen to put that result behind them. They bounced back with a 23-10 win against Hong Kong last November but lost to the Asian islanders 17-38 a week later.

Brazil’s most recent international clash was a 17-45 drubbing at the hands of Argentina A during the July mid-year international season, needing to bounce back after losing an important home tie against Chile that could define their hopes of representing their country and continent in Australia.

Carlo MIGNOT of Biarritz scores a try during the Pro D2 match

Carlo MIGNOT of Biarritz/ Getty Images

Key Players to Watch

  • Endy Willian Pinheiro: The hooker has been one of his country’s standout forwards, but needs to also keep his cool after picking up a yellow card in an earlier game against Chile.
  • Lucas Tranquez: The fly-half has been strong from the kicking tee, contributing a large chunk of Brazil’s points in the qualifiers, while also setting up tactical plays well.
  • Carlo Mignot: One of Os Tupis’ top try-scorers of the qualifying series, the sometimes captain has led the team well from the back and will need to guide them over the line again.

Team News

Coach Emiliano Caffera will likely rotate the XV, considering that Brazil needs to outscore Chile by 15 points to claim the second leg. Winger Ariel Rodrigues is expected to miss out after a red card two games ago.

Predicted Line-Ups

Chile:

Forwards:
Props (1 & 3): Javier Carrasco, Inaki Gurruchaga (The front row has worked well together)
Hooker (2): Auguste Bohme (A forward playing in the USA league system)
Locks (4 & 5): Santiago Pedrero, Javier Eissmann (A well-meshed second row pairing)
Flankers (6 & 7): Clemente Saavedra, Raimundo Martinez (The captain pairs with another experienced campaigner)
Number 8 (8): Alfonso Escobar (This loose forward provides stability at the back)

Backs:
Scrum-Half (9): Benjamin Videla (Able to use his pace to cross the try line)
Fly-Half (10): Tomas Salas (A relatively inexperienced player who shows promise)
Centres (12 & 13): Santiago Videla, Matias Garafulic (Both have decent international exposure)
Wings (11 & 14): Nicolas Saab, Nicolas Garafulic (A top try-scorer paired with another pace man on the wings)
Fullback (15): Luba Strabbuchi (The newcomer has been solid at the back)

Brazil:

Forwards:
Props (1 & 3): Joao Marino, Matheus Rocha (Brazil has a somewhat inexperienced front row)
Hooker (2): Endy Willian Pinheiro (Needs to show his abilities in the set pieces)
Locks (4 & 5): Ben Donald, Gabriel Oliveira (Another young and hungry forward pairing)
Flankers (6 & 7): Cleber Dias, Matheus Claudio (The captain is paired with a strong player)
Number 8 (8): Adrio de Melo (An imposing figure at the back of the scrum)

Backs:
Scrum-Half (9): Felipe Goncalves (A player showing creativity and dynamicism)
Fly-Half (10): Lucas Tranquez (The captain is a crucial points-scorer for Brazil)
Centres (12 & 13): Lorenzo Massari Temer, Carlo Mignot (A pair who have contributed points)
Wings (11 & 14): Victor Silva, Robert Tenorio (Two young players waiting to be unleashed)
Fullback (15): Joao Amaral (This back has assumed the kicking duties when needed)

Suggested Bets

Ahead of a crucial clash between the South American teams, best betting sites for rugby have offered suggested bets.

  1. First Team to Score - Chile: The home team opened the scoring from the kicking tee in the first leg and have proven they have the ability to drill over penalties and also cross the try line frequently, and are likely to put the first point onto the board again this time (4/5)

Value Bets

Reliable bookmakers for betting have also offered value bets for fans who enjoy placing stakes on high-stakes international clashes.

  1. Team to Score Last Try - Brazil: While the Brazilians failed to make use of their home turf advantage and need to win this match by 15 points, they also showed glimpses of their class by scoring the final try in the first leg against Chile (5/2)

Prediction: Chile to Win

Chile went unbeaten in the second round of the 2027 World Cup qualifiers, inflicting Brazil’s only defeat in the same round. Los Condores also hammered Paraguay 64-0, although Os Tupis also boasted a similar win (77-17).

While both teams have a lot to play for, with a shot at international glory beckoning, the Chileans have a superior head-to-head record and the first-leg advantage. As such, SportsBoom’s Brazil match prediction is that Chile will book their place in the final, relegating their opponents to the third-place playoff.

Betting sites with welcome bonus are also offering additional value for fans of international games with major implications.

Bruce Douglas
Bruce DouglasSports Writer

Bruce Douglas has more than 12 years of experience in local news media. He has worked at all levels of print and online publication, from crime and politics to photography, newspaper layout, proofreading, mentoring, sub-editing, and leading a newsroom. He played numerous sports at the school level and enjoys keeping up to date.