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USA v Spain Preview: Odds, Tips and Prediction

Venue: Snapdragon Stadium, San Diego, USA Kickoff Time: 20:00 (SAST) There is no doubt that this encounter will be tightly contested. These two nations will be building toward participation in the Rugby World Cup in 2027 and will know that every fixture and performance between now and the qualifiers is of vital importance. For punters wanting to get involved, there will no doubt be plenty of value and so we suggest having a look at reputable rugby betting sites ahead of making your final predictions.

Ryan Liberty
Ryan Liberty

Last updated: 2025-07-10

Chad Nagel

4 minutes read

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Spain's Jeremy Trevithick

Spain's Jeremy Trevithick//Getty Images

Pre-Game Odds and Win Probability

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  1. USA: 10/11 (1.91) – 53%

Head-To-Head Record

  1. 23/06/2019: USA 42-13 Spain

  2. 17/11/2012: Spain 20-15 USA

  3. 17/11/2001: USA 58-13 Spain

USA Current Form – LLWLL

The USA have had to struggle through their last few games and will be hopeful not to repeat their performance ahead of the 2027 Rugby World Cup. Gary Gold will find frustration in their inconsistency, but their win over Canada will have done wonders for their confidence. 

They have a lethal attack with pace and talent on the outside, but their lack of cohesion upfront often lets them down defensively. Nevertheless, they will be confident of a win here.

Key Players to Watch

  • Nate Augspurger: The scrumhalf will bring leadership and energy to this USA side. He also adds a solid defensive base and allows his team to play with a positive tempo. Keep an eye on him here.
  • Christian Dyer: Dyer is a winger with incredible pace and ability out wide. He seems to have a knack for finding space and is always a threat when the Americans have forward ball. 
  • Cam Dolan: Dolan makes a steady claim for the most capped USA forward in the team and will surely bring that experience and leadership to all of their set plays and performance. His contributions will be crucial here.

Spain Current Form – WDWWW

They will come into this game off the back of some really strong performances. They have a balanced squad and bring an intriguing blend of physicality and mobility. Their backline enjoys going forward with intent and they will not be intimidated by their opponents here. 

Yes, their form on the road leaves a lot to be desired. However, against an American side struggling to find consistency, they can certainly back their ability.

Key Players to Watch

  • Manuel Ordas: The maturity Ordas has at flyhalf allows his side to attack with an interesting intention. He is without question their main playmaker and whether he will be able to dictate the game from the number 10 role will be pivotal here.
  • Fred Quercy: He is a powerful rugby player. He will enjoy the physicality of the encounter and look to drive the Spanish further and further up the field. As a mobile forward, expect him to be coming around the corner throughout this encounter.
  • Bruno Granell: He is an explosive counter-attacking option for the Spanish and with the space at fullback, could cause the USA a few problems. He will be hopeful for a few loose kicks from the hosts, and if so, expect him to punish them with cruelty.

Suggested Bets

  1. Spain (+3.5): This Spanish side is a dangerous team to take for granted. They have a ton of confidence and will be looking to hurt their hosts wherever they can. 19/20 (1.95) with Betway. 

  2. Total Tries (Over 5.5): These two teams are committed to attacking opportunities and with defensive insecurity on both ends, expect a rather open encounter. 5/4 (2.1) with Hollywoodbets.

Value Bets

  1. Half-Time/Full-Time (Draw/Spain): It is always a big call backing a draw in rugby, but this game is likely to be rather cagey at the start before kicking off into gear. Take the chance and enjoy the payout. 9/1 (10.0) with Supabets.

  2. First Try Scorer (Christian Dyer): He is the primary finisher for the USA and given his attacking nuance, he is likely to open the scoring for the hosts. 3/1 (4.0) with 10Bet.

Prediction: Spain to Win

We think the Spanish have what it takes to edge this encounter ever so carefully. Yes, they are on foreign soil where they have struggled, but their recent performances and ever-growing confidence makes them a side to watch. 

They have a clear task of getting into the Rugby World Cup and with that belief and confidence, we see them edging this one.

For those looking to back Spain in this crucial clash, betting sites with welcome bonus offers are a smart way to get started, especially when every wager counts.

Ryan Liberty
Ryan LibertyBetting Writer

Ryan Liberty is an experienced sports writer whose articles have featured in some of the biggest sports publications in South Africa. With a strong understanding of all major sports and an in-depth understanding of betting, Ryan consistently delivers insightful content. He's also known for his ability to break down complex topics into engaging, reader-friendly pieces.