Tennis
Mubadala Citi DC Open 2025 Preview: Odds, Tips, & Predictions
Date: July 21-27, 2025
Venue: William H.G. FitzGerald Tennis Centre
Competition: Men’s Singles
Defending Champion: Sebastian Korda
The Mubadala Citi DC Open marks the start of the North American hard-court swing, a critical lead-up to the US Open. As the only combined ATP and WTA 500-level tournament, this event draws significant attention from tennis betting sites, with a star-studded field featuring players like Taylor Fritz and Frances Tiafoe. After reaching the US Open final in 2024, Taylor Fritz is a leading contender at the Mubadala Citi DC Open, aiming to build momentum for another deep run in New York. As a former finalist (2023), the American thrives on the hard courts of Washington, DC.
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Sebastian Korda/Getty Images
The field also includes defending champion Sebastian Korda, local favourite Frances Tiafoe, and Alex de Minaur, adding depth to this ATP 500 event. This tournament offers players a chance to sharpen their hard-court game ahead of the US Open. To guide your betting, we’ve compiled tennis betting tips and predictions based on the latest insights, so dive into this preview for a comprehensive look.
Pre-Game Odds and Win Probability
To provide actionable tennis betting insights, we start with pre-tournament odds from leading betting sites.
Here’s a look at the favourites for the 2025 Mubadala Citi DC Open:
Taylor Fritz – 3/1 (4.00) – 25%
Frances Tiafoe – 5/1 (6.00) – 16.7%
Head-to-Head Record: Taylor Fritz vs Frances Tiafoe
The Mubadala Citi DC Open promises exciting matchups but the clash between Taylor Fritz and Frances Tiafoe looks like the standout match.
Last Five Meetings
- November 21, 2024 (Davis Cup Finals, Quarterfinal): Taylor Fritz beat Frances Tiafoe 6-4, 6-3
- August 10, 2023 (Canadian Masters, Round of 16): Frances Tiafoe beat Taylor Fritz 6-3, 6-4
- April 8, 2023 (Monte Carlo Masters, Round of 32): Taylor Fritz beat Frances Tiafoe 6-3, 6-4
- October 7, 2022 (Japan Open, Quarterfinal): Frances Tiafoe beat Taylor Fritz 6-3, 6-7 (5-7), 6-3
- January 19, 2022 (Australian Open, Round of 64): Frances Tiafoe beat Taylor Fritz 6-4, 6-3, 7-6 (7-5)
Tiafoe leads the head-to-head 3-2 coming into the tournament.
Players Form
Analysing the form of key contenders provides deeper insights for your tennis betting strategies and can give you a bit of an edge.
Taylor Fritz
Fritz had a career-best 2024, posting a 41-15 record and reaching the US Open final, establishing himself as a top hard-court player. His powerful serve and aggressive baseline game suit the fast courts of Rock Creek Park, where he was a finalist in 2023. With a career-high ranking of No. 4, Fritz is a strong favourite to claim his first DC title.
Frances Tiafoe
A DC native, Tiafoe thrives in front of his home crowd, with a 2024 record of 29-18 and a career-high ranking of No. 10 in 2023. His electrifying athleticism and flair make him a fan favourite, and he reached the DC semi-finals in 2023. Tiafoe’s ability to elevate his game on big stages makes him a threat.
Sebastian Korda
The defending champion, Korda, won the 2024 Mubadala Citi DC Open, marking his first ATP 500 title. With a 27-16 record in 2024, his smooth groundstrokes and all-court game are well-suited to hard courts. As an American, he’ll aim to repeat in front of a supportive crowd, but faces stiff competition.
Previous Mubadala Citi DC Open Winners
Here are the last five men’s singles champions at the Mubadala Citi DC Open:
- 2024: Sebastian Korda
- 2023: Daniel Evans
- 2022: Nick Kyrgios
- 2021: Jannik Sinner
- 2020: No tournament (COVID-19)
- 2019: Nick Kyrgios
Suggested Bets
Tennis betting sites will offer a range of markets for the Mubadala Citi DC Open. Here are our top picks:
Taylor Fritz to win the Mubadala Citi DC Open: Fritz’s 2024 form, including a US Open final, and his 2023 DC final appearance make him a top pick. His hard-court prowess gives him an edge.
Match to feature at least 1 Tiebreak: Hard courts often produce tight sets, especially with big servers like Fritz and Korda. The 2023 final included a tiebreak, supporting this bet.
Frances Tiafoe to reach the semi-finals: As a local favourite with a strong DC track record, Tiafoe’s crowd support and flair make him a solid bet to go deep.
Prediction: Taylor Fritz to Win
The Mubadala Citi DC Open is a cornerstone of the US Open Series, and while Sebastian Korda’s title defence and Frances Tiafoe’s home advantage are compelling, Taylor Fritz stands out. His 2024 US Open final run, hard-court dominance, and prior DC success make him the player to beat. It is likely that Fritz will claim the title, setting the stage for a strong US Open campaign.
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Charles Perrin is a highly experienced sports betting content writer with over six years of working with some of the leading sportsbooks in the UK, including bet365 and William Hill.