Tennis
Mubadala Citi DC Open 2025 Preview: Odds, Tips, & Predictions
Date: July 21-27 Venue: Rock Creek Park, Washington, DC, USA Defending champion: Sebastian Korda The Mubadala Citi DC Open comes into sharp focus this week, and it represents a critical juncture of the season. As the only combined ATP-WTA Tour 500-level tennis tournament in the calendar, a raft of top players will descend upon Washington, DC for the start of the hard-court swing. All roads lead to the US Open at the end of August, and this event provokes intrigue among the leading tennis betting sites. Expect plenty of pre-tournament outrights and specials rattling about, complete with enticing prices. Sebastian Korda goes into the Mubadala Citi DC Open as the reigning champion. Still, he’s an anomaly as he’s the only American to have triumphed at this tournament in the past 10 years.
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Sebastian Korda/Getty Images
Sebastian Korda goes into the Mubadala Citi DC Open as the reigning champion. Still, he’s an anomaly as he’s the only American to have triumphed at this tournament in the past 10 years.There has been a distinctly European flavour in the winners list, although tennis’ forgotten man, Nick Kyrgios, lifted the title twice in 2019 and 2022.This tournament has paved the way for the game’s trailblazers, but how will things unfold this year? We’ve provided a full preview, including tennis betting insights, so you can see who is worth backing.
Pre-Game Odds and Win Probability
The switch to hard will arguably be a relief for some of the players who haven’t fared as well on grass.To whet your appetite, we have tapped into the most reputable online betting operators to gauge how the bookmakers view things in terms of the pre-tournament favourites.
Taylor Fritz – 9/1 (10.00) – 10%
Alex De Minaur – 14/1 (15.00) – 6.7%
Odds courtesy of Stake, subject to change.
Head-to-Head Record (Taylor Fritz vs Alex De Minaur)
Tennis stats for betting can often provide some clues as to the core strengths of individual players as well as expose their shortcomings.
We’ve explored in more depth the head-to-head record of two likely contenders — Taylor Fritz and Alex De Minaur. Fritz is set to be the highest-ranked player in the field and he has a monstrous serve, while De Minaur boasts blistering speed around the court.
It possesses all the ingredients of a fascinating matchup, and diving into the tale of the tape can often enhance your chances of executing your tennis betting strategies.
Last Five Meetings
- November 21, 2024: (Davis Cup Finals quarter-final): Taylor Fritz beat Alex De Minaur 6-3, 6-4
- November 14, 2024: (ATP Finals round robin): Taylor Fritz beat Alex De Minaur 5-7, 6-4, 6-3
- January 1, 2024: (United Cup round robin): Alex De Minaur beat Taylor Fritz 6-4, 6-2
- August 10, 2023: (Canadian Masters Round of 16): Alex De Minaur beat Taylor Fritz 7-6 (7), 4-6, 6-1
- June 24, 2022: (Eastbourne semi-final): Taylor Fritz beat Alex De Minaur 3-6, 6-4, 7-6 (5)
Players Form
Although exploring the head-to-head record of Taylor Fritz vs Alex De Minaur offers some intriguing insights, it only forms one aspect of our pre-tournament research.
Some tennis sites for betting contain rudimentary data, but we’ve given you the inside track on three leading contenders for the Mubadala Citi DC Open. We’ve reviewed previous performances and explained what they bring to the table.
Taylor Fritz
Taylor Fritz seems unflappable. He’s cool, calm, and collected in the high-pressure moments, and he’s hot on the heels of Jack Draper, who is currently fourth in the world rankings.
A strong showing at Wimbledon saw Fritz reach the semi-finals, only to fall short against Carlos Alcaraz. He came close to taking the Spaniard to a fifth set, and let’s not forget, Fritz reached the US Open Final last year, indicating he’s not far from bridging the gap between him, Alcaraz and Jannik Sinner.
On hard, Fritz is formidable, and he clinched the Indian Wells Masters in 2022. This year, at the time of writing, he had won 79% of his first serve points on hard court, converting close to 50% of his break point opportunities, and he could go deep in DC.
Alex De Minaur
Alex De Minaur has been quite vocal in talking about the demands of the ATP Tour, voicing fears about potential burnout. However, the Australian always leaves everything on the court, covering every inch. He is one of the fastest and most exciting players on the Tour, and he is on the cusp of breaking back into the world’s top 10.
There were plenty of positives to take from Wimbledon, and he gave Novak Djokovic a scare in the Round of 16 before the Serbian got over the line in four sets. The bulk of De Minaur’s titles have come on hard, and he’s one of those players you can’t discount.
Ben Shelton
A serving bot, Ben Shelton can power down a 150mph serve effortlessly, but it’s the intensity to his game that makes him box-office viewing.
Shelton’s progress has been rapid, and he would like to improve on his 19-14 win-loss record this term.
His competitive spirit is incredible, and he would love to add to the two career titles he’s won. He is on our radar!
Previous Mubadala Citi DC Open Winners
Some of the best betting sites for tennis might display information on past champions, but in case you don’t already know, here are the past five tournament winners.
- 2024 – Sebastian Korda
- 2023 – Dan Evans
- 2022 – Nick Kyrgios
- 2021 – Jannik Sinner
- 2019 – Nick Kyrgios
Suggested Bets
We’ve scooted over to our recommended operators and supplied some more tennis betting tips based on value odds unearthed.
For the Mubadala Citi DC Open, we crave diversity, and the following could be a source of inspiration.
Taylor Fritz to win the Mubadala Citi DC Open: Taylor Fritz is in the ascendancy, and he has the nous to produce a one-two sucker punch with his booming serve and crunching groundstrokes. While he’s shown his prowess on grass, he’s a hard-court supremo, and he could land an 11th ATP Tour title in DC (9/2 with BetWinner)
Alex De Minaur to reach at least the quarter-final: Despite dropping out of the world’s top 10, there shouldn’t be too much to worry about with Alex De Minaur. He invariably reaches the latter end of tournaments, and he always makes you play an extra ball. A quarter-final berth at minimum seems attainable (7/5 with 1xBet).
Winner of the Mubadala Citi DC Open to be decided in straight sets: Last year, the final stretched to three sets with Sebastian Korda clambering over the line. Depending on how the draw pans out, we think fans should brace themselves for an epic, and the final could go the distance. There is some value in this line (11/8 with Betandyou)
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Taylor Fritz to Win
The Mubadala Citi DC Open occupies a special place in the ATP Tour, and the entry list is stacked with talent.
Sebastian Korda may be the defending champion, but he hasn’t come into our thinking. While Alex De Minaur and Ben Shelton have the tools to grind it out, Taylor Fritz leaps out from the pack. His blistering serve, combined with his finesse on the baseline, means he will be hard to shrug off. The American has an unwavering belief in himself, and he’s our pick to prevail at this event.
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Charles Perrin is a highly experienced sports betting content writer with over six years of working with some of the leading sportsbooks in the UK, including bet365 and William Hill.