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UFC Fight Night: Borralho vs Imavov Odds, Tips and Predictions

UFC Fight Night: Borralho vs Imavov Odds, Tips and Predictions Date: Saturday, 6 September 2025 Time: 8:00 PM BST Venue: Accor Arena, Paris, France Broadcaster: Available on ESPN+ and UFC Fight Pass The Accor Arena is home for UFC Fight Night on 6 September 2025 and the main event is not for anyone who enjoys slow build-ups. Nassourdine Imavov walks in with the swagger of a man who just knocked out Israel Adesanya and now gets to headline in front of his own people. On the other side is Brazil’s Caio Borralho who has quietly turned the middleweight division into his personal grindhouse with seven straight UFC wins.

Joshua Gaillard
J.G.

Last updated: 2025-08-27

Chad Nagel

5 minutes read

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Nassourdine Imavov of Russia punches Israel Adesanya

Nassourdine Imavov and Israel Adesanya/ Getty Images

This is not the type of fight where you ask who can survive five rounds. It is the kind of fight where the crowd wonders if Imavov can keep Borralho off him long enough to land a sniper shot or if Borralho drags him into the kind of suffocating misery that makes judges’ scorecards look like a formality.

In MMA betting terms this is as close to a coin toss as the UFC gets with volatility baked into every second of the matchup.

The Paris Showdown

UFC Paris is back for the fourth straight year, and the Accor Arena has somehow lucked into a main event that actually matters. Nassourdine Imavov strolls in as the local hero with a shiny knockout of Israel Adesanya on his résumé, the sort of scalp that instantly puts anybody's name under the spotlight. Caio Borralho is quite the opposite, quietly going about his business, grinding his way through the division, piling up wins while looking like the guy who shows up at your housewarming party and never leaves.

This is not just bragging rights and a main event paycheck. One of these middleweights props themselves right up at the doorstep of a title shot with the door wide open, because we know how the UFC is crying out for anyone fresh to throw at the belt.

The Paris Showdown

  1. Nassourdine Imavov: 10/11 (1.91) – 52%

  2. Caio Borralho: 10/11 (1.91) – 52%

    Odds courtesy of Stake, subject to change.

    The bookies are shrugging their shoulders and calling it even. You could flip a coin and probably get the same level of accuracy as the algorithms here, which says everything about the chaos of sports betting on this card.

Tale of the Tape

AttributeNassourdine ImavovCaio Borralho
Age2932
Height6'3" (191 cm)6'1" (185 cm)
Weight185 lbs (84 kg)185 lbs (84 kg)
Reach75" (191 cm)75" (191 cm)
Record16-4-0 (1 NC)17-1-0 (1 NC)
KO/TKO7 wins (44%)5 wins (28%)
Submission4 wins (25%)4 wins (24%)
Decisions5 wins (31%)8 wins (47%)
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Nassourdine Imavov News

Nassourdine Imavov (16-4) has been walking around Paris like he already owns the keys to the division. Knocking out a former champ in Israel Adesanya, who dominated for so long, will do that for your confidence. He fights with the kind of calm arrogance that makes opponents think they are doing fine until they suddenly wake up staring at the lights.

It is not just the Adesanya scalp that has boosted his stock. Imavov has strung together big wins over Jared Cannonier, Brendan Allen and Roman Dolidze, each time showing that his striking and composure hold up against different looks in the division. His jab, counters and timing make him one of the cleanest technicians at middleweight. The French crowd will expect him to put on another showcase, and with that résumé behind him, he has every reason to believe he can.

Caio Borralho of Brazil knees Jared Cannonier in a middleweight

Caio Borralho and Jared Cannonier /Getty Images

Caio Borralho News

Borralho (17-1) is not flashy, but he is brutally effective, which is the polite way of saying he makes fights look like a PE fitness test. He smothers, he grinds, and when you finally think you have breathing room, he dumps you back on the mat and resets the misery.

His résumé is building fast with wins over Jared Cannonier, Paul Craig, Michal Oleksiejczuk and Abus Magomedov, each time leaning on his gas tank and grappling to drown opponents. Borralho has made a habit of turning strikers into passengers, and his ability to blend steady pressure with opportunistic submissions makes him one of the division’s most reliable spoilers. He is not here to impress the Paris crowd; he is here to drag their hometown hero into the mud and walk out with another name on his list.

Suggested Bets

  1. Caio Borralho to Win by Decision: The most boring outcome is usually the most likely in his fights. Expect wrestling, top control, and judges scribbling. 2/1 (3.00) – 33% with Stake

  2. Mauricio Ruffy to Win by KO/TKO: St. Denis comes forward like a man possessed, but his defence leaks like a cracked roof. Ruffy has the speed and accuracy to make him pay. 5/6 (1.83) – 54.5% with Stake

  3. Rinat Fakhretdinov to Win by Decision: Built like a tank and not exactly a finisher, Fakhretdinov thrives on grinding opponents down. Gustafson is durable enough to hear the final horn. 6/4 (2.50) – 40% with Stake

Value Bets

  1. Nassourdine Imavov to Win in Round 2: If the Frenchman gets his rhythm early, he has the accuracy to catch Borralho and send the Accor Arena into chaos. 9/1 (10.0) – 10% with Stake

  2. Mason Jones to Win by Submission: Jones loves a brawl, but his grappling is underrated, and Oki has left openings on the mat before. 7/2 (4.50) – 22% with Stake

  3. Ante Delija to Win by KO/TKO: Tybura has been around forever, but his chin has been tested one too many times. Delija throws heavy and only needs one. 3/1 (4.00) – 25% with Stake

Prediction: Borralho by Decision

Paris is always looking for big knockouts! Imavov can provide such, but Borralho brings the grind that makes people check their phones by round three, leaving with a decision that nobody remembers a week later. A clean strike from the home crowd’s Nassourdine will blow the roof off Accor Arena, but betting on it seems risky even with the odds as tight as the UFC shorts.

For those watching the markets closely might even spot a sign up bonus worth taking into the final round.

Joshua Gaillard
Joshua Gaillard Sports Writer

Joshua Gaillard is a freelance editor and dedicated Arsenal fan, known for creating fact-based, insightful content. His work, featured on top South African websites, blends analysis with engaging storytelling for clear, impactful articles.

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