PFL World Tournament Finals: Jean vs Storley Odds, Tips and Predictions

Date: Saturday, 2 August 2025 Time: 12:00 AM BST (Sunday Morning) Venue: Jim Whelan Boardwalk Hall, Atlantic City, New Jersey Broadcaster: Available on ESPN+ and PFL Fight Pass The 2025 PFL Welterweight World Tournament Final has all the drama you’d want. Thad “The Silverback” Jean, unbeaten and riding the hype train at full speed, finally meets someone who might derail it. Former Bellator champion Logan “Storm” Storley, a wrestler who treats opponents like heavy luggage he refuses to put down. It’s a true collision of styles with half a million dollars and championship gold on the line, and for those looking to better their chances in MMA betting, SportsBoom gives you all the action.

J.G.

Sports Writer

Last updated: 2025-07-31

Fact checked by:

Chad Nagel

Sports & Betting Editor

5 minutes read

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Thad Jean celebrates after defeating Mukhamed Berkhamov

Thad Jean/ Getty Images

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Undefeated Potential vs Tested Experience

This fight feels like a science experiment: what happens when a shiny, unbeaten prospect collides with a human blanket who has seen it all? Thad Jean is the new toy in the welterweight division, all speed, reach, and violent intentions. Logan Storley is the seasoned wrestler who has spent a career making exciting fighters look like they accidentally signed up for a grappling tournament.

Jean wants space to strike; Storley wants no space at all. One man is undefeated and full of confidence; the other has fought world-class opposition and knows how to make hype trains derail in slow motion. It is the irresistible force versus the immovable object, except the object comes with double-leg takedowns and a strong grip.

If Jean wins, it confirms that his athleticism and striking are more than enough for the top tier. If Storley wins, it is proof that experience and chain wrestling still pay the bills in a sport obsessed with fast-rising prospects.

Pre-Fight Odds and Win Probability: Jean Firm Favourite

Thad Jean: 2/5 (1.41) – 70.9%
Logan Storley: 17/10 (2.70) – 37.0%
Odds courtesy of Stake, subject to change.
Jean’s undefeated record and dynamic striking have made him a solid betting favourite. Storley’s elite wrestling does give him a live chance, but oddsmakers have made it clear that Jean is expected to dictate the tempo. For those exploring sports betting markets, this clash offers both a clear favourite and an underdog with genuine upset potential.

Tale of the Tape

Attribute	Thad Jean	Logan Storley
Age	27	32
Height	6'2" (188 cm)	5'9" (175 cm)
Weight	170 lbs (77 kg)	170 lbs (77 kg)
Reach	76" (193 cm)	71.5" (182 cm)
Record	10-0-0	18-3-0
KO/TKO	5 wins (50%)	9 wins (50%)
Submission	1 win (10%)	0 wins (0%)
Decisions	4 wins (40%)	9 wins (50%)

Thad Jean News

Thad Jean is not just undefeated; he is doing it while carrying the Haitian flag like it is made of Kevlar. He talks about faith and community, but when the cage door shuts, he is all business and all violence. Ten wins, zero losses, and a highlight reel that already makes him look like a seasoned contender rather than a guy still figuring out how good he can be.

Jean is a long, fast welterweight who loves space to work, which is perfect until someone like Logan Storley decides space is overrated and tries to live in your shorts. Jean’s biggest step forward this year has been takedown defense and the ability to scramble without panicking, something his coaches at Kill Cliff FC have been screaming into him all camp.

Stylistically, he is built to cause chaos for wrestlers: sharp jab, brutal low kicks, and the patience to make opponents chase. That mix has made him one of the most compelling welterweights in the PFL, and why people are wondering if he is more than just an unbeaten prospect. If he keeps this run going, he will not just be Haiti’s guy; he will be everyone’s problem at 170 pounds.

Logan Storley fights against Luca Poclit during PFL 2024

Logan Storley News

Logan Storley enters this final with both experience and hunger. A former Bellator interim champion, Storley has faced some of the toughest welterweights in the world and built his reputation on relentless wrestling and elite top control. In interviews this week, he has been clear about his mission: give Thad Jean his first professional loss and walk away as a PFL world champion. That type of motivation makes Storley dangerous, even as an underdog.

Storley’s fighting style is built around high-level chain wrestling and positional dominance. He excels at closing distance, securing takedowns, and forcing opponents to work from their backs for extended periods. While he is not known for flashy striking, he has developed enough stand-up skill to set up his entries and keep opponents guessing.

What stands out about Storley heading into this fight is his focus. He has spoken about blocking out distractions and staying locked in on his goal of winning this tournament and proving he can still compete with the best at 170 pounds. He understands Jean’s reach and knockout power but believes his pressure, pace, and wrestling fundamentals will be enough to neutralize the younger fighter’s strengths. For Storley, this is as much about legacy as it is about the paycheck.

Suggested Bets

Khaybulaev to Win by Decision vs Pinedo: Khaybulaev’s wrestling-heavy style often leads to control-based victories on the scorecards. 4/6 (1.67) – 60% with Betandyou
Jean vs Storley – Fight Goes the Distance: Both fighters are known for durability, and stylistically, they can cancel each other out. 5/6 (1.83) – 54.5% with 1Win
Ajdouj to Win vs Landu: The young Moroccan prospect has speed and precision striking, giving him the edge in this matchup. 11/10 (2.10) – 47.6% with Pinnacle

Value Bets

Newman vs Baset – Newman by KO/TKO: Newman has shown finishing power, and Baset’s defense has holes against heavy hitters. 7/2 (4.50) – 22.2% with Stake
Kaszuba vs Cossio – Fight Ends in Round 1: Both men are fast starters, making an early finish a strong longshot. 4/1 (5.00) – 20% with 1xBet
Kelly vs Dupras – Fight Ends via Submission: Both are submission specialists, creating a strong chance of a grappling-based finish. 6/1 (7.00) – 14.3% with BetWinner

Prediction: Jean by Decision

Expect Storley to do what he always does: shoot takedowns until either he gets them, or the audience starts checking their phones. Jean’s task is straightforward on paper and terrifying in practice: keep a Division I wrestler off your hips for 25 minutes while still landing enough to win rounds.

Jean’s speed and reach should let him sting Storley on the entries, and his improved takedown defense will be tested more than his patience at media day. Storley will likely bank control time, but Jean has the athleticism to scramble up and make him work harder than usual. By championship rounds, the younger fighter’s striking volume and movement should separate him on the scorecards.

Those watching the markets closely might even spot a sign-up bonus worth taking into the final round.

Joshua Gaillard Sports Writer

Joshua Gaillard is a freelance editor and dedicated Arsenal fan, known for creating fact-based, insightful content. His work, featured on top South African websites, blends analysis with engaging storytelling for clear, impactful articles.

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