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UFC 321: Tom Aspinall vs Ciryl Gane Preview: Odds, Tips, and Predictions

Tom Aspinall takes on Ciryl Gane at the Etihad Arena in Abu Dhabi on Saturday, 25 October 2025. It is set to be an enthralling battle when these two fighters lock horns at UFC 321, and if you are looking for some of the best MMA betting sites to place a bet with, you can check out these options top MMA betting platforms.

Thierry Henry
Nigel Naicker

Last updated: 2025-10-22

Chad Nagel

2 minutes read

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Tom Aspinall  reacts after his knockout victory against Curtis Blaydes

Tom Aspinall reacts after his knockout victory against Curtis Blaydes//Getty Images

Aspinall will defend his undisputed UFC heavyweight title against Gane in an important fight as it is Aspinall’s first defence since Jon Jones did not commit to a fight and he took the title. Aspinall (15-3-0) is coming into the fight with an eight-fight win streak, and he most recently knocked Curtis Blades out in July 2024. Gane, on the other hand, has a 13-2-0 record and rebounded from his 2023 loss via submission to Jones with wins over Serghei Spivac and Alexander Volkov back in December 2024.

Pre-Game Odds and Win Probability

For those looking to find value at some of the best online betting sites, Aspinall is the clear favourite. 

  1. Tom Aspinall: 1/2 (1.50) – 66.7%

  2. Ciryl Gane: 7/4 (2.75) – 36.4% 

    Odds courtesy of 1Win subject to change. 

Tale of the Tape

AttributeTom AspinallCiryl Gane
Age3235
Height6’5’’6’4’’
Weight255 lbs245 lbs
Reach78’’81’’
Record15-3-013-2-0
KO/TKO80%46%
Submission  20%23%
Decisions  0%31%
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Tom Aspinall News

Aspinall comes into UFC 321 in fine form and with no recent injuries after his dominant first-round KO over Curtis Blaydes at UFC 304 back in July 2024. The man from England has been speaking about how he has been staying fit after his knee injury back in 2022. 

Ciryl Gane News 

Gane is also coming into the fight with no injuries after he overcame a foot issue from the end of 2024. His most recent win was a split decision victory over Alexander Volkov at UFC 310 back in December 2024, while Gane’s form is a 2-1 record since his loss against Jon Jones and is looking to turn things around as quickly as possible. 

Suggested Bets

  1. Aspinall by KO/TKO: Tom has won 80% of his wins by knockout. (5/4 with Betway

  2. Under 1.5 Rounds: Aspinall is known for his quick knockouts. (83/100 with 1Win)

Value Bets

  1. Aspinall wins in Round 1: As mentioned earlier, he has an 80% KO rate and he usually ends things quickly. (7/4 with Stake

  2. Gane by submission: If there is to be an upset, Gane’s submission record could be the way to go for your bets. 20/1 with Betway) 

Tom Aspinall vs Ciryl Gane Prediction: Aspinall via KO

It is set to be an epic fight night but Aspinall is the favourite here as he is an explosive fighter with great finishing ability, so expect a fight from Gane, but it is likely Aspinall’s ruthlessness is displayed early on in the fight and he wins by KO. With such a clear finish predicted, new bettors can maximize their returns on this explosive matchup by 

Thierry Henry
Nigel NaickerBetting Writer

With a decade of sports writing expertise, Nigel Naicker has crafted compelling content across football leagues like the Premier League and UEFA Champions League, as well as cricket and UFC. A passionate storyteller since 2014, Nigel joins the SportsBoom team, ready to deliver insightful narratives across various sports disciplines.