Tennis
Hamburg Open 2025 Preview: Odds, Tips, & Predictions
Dates: May 18-24, 2025 Venue: Rothenbaum Tennis Centre, Hamburg Competition: Men’s Singles Defending champion: Arthur Fils The Hamburg Open, an ATP 500 event, runs alongside the Geneva Open, and it will feature a raft of the world’s top players. A fun precursor before the French Open, the second Major of the season, the Hamburg Open has always made for compelling viewing.
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Arthur Fils plays during the match against Pedro Martinez//Getty Images
Those looking to place wagers at the best tennis betting sites won’t be stuck for choice as these operators will be stacked with outrights, specials, and other pre-match lines to sink your teeth into.
Despite lifting his second career clay-court title in Hamburg last year, Arthur Fils has decided not to participate, which will no doubt raise a few eyebrows. To spark further intrigue, Alexander Zverev, Germany’s leading tennis player and the 2023 Hamburg Open champion, won’t be involved either.
Cementing its place as one of the most historic clay-court events on the ATP Tour, the Hamburg Open used to be a Masters 1000 tournament before it dropped down to 500 status. Roger Federer is the tournament’s most successful player, winning it a record four times.
But who will pen another brilliant chapter in Hamburg? Apart from diving into the best betting sites for tennis to source odds, we have shone a light on key stats and provided other insights to inspire you.
Pre-Game Odds and Win Probability
With excitement mounting for the French Open, the Hamburg Open has always been a popular stopping point on the ATP Tour.
We have gone through the leading online betting sites with a fine toothcomb and handpicked a couple of pre-tournament winner prices for a couple of players garnering plenty of favour.
- Jannik Sinner – 12/5 (3.40) – 29.4%
- Holger Rune – 19/1 (20.00) – 5%
- Odds courtesy of Stake, subject to change
Head-to-Head Record (Jannik Sinner vs Holger Rune)
To set the mood, we’ve looked at the tale of the tape of past encounters between Jannik Sinner and Holger Rune.
Sinner, who only returned to the Tour at the Italian Open, after completing a three-month doping suspension, is still comfortably clear at the top of the world rankings at the time of writing. Still, Holger Rune, who won the Barcelona Open earlier this year, is clinging onto 10th spot in the rankings.
Perusing tennis stats for betting and checking out head-to-head records can help you execute your tennis betting strategies.
Last five meetings
January 20, 2025: (Australian Open quarter-final): Jannik Sinner beat Holger Rune 6-3, 3-6, 6-3, 6-2
April 12, 2024: (Monte Carlo Masters quarter-final): Jannik Sinner beat Holger Rune 6-4, 6-7, 6-3
November 16, 2023: (ATP Tour Finals Round Robin): Jannik Sinner beat Holger Rune 6-2, 5-7, 6-4
April 15, 2023: (Monte Carlo Masters semi-final): Holger Rune beat Jannik Sinner 1-6, 7-5, 7-5
October 1, 2022: (Sofia Open semi-final): Holger Rune beat Jannik Sinner RET
*RET indicates there was a retirement during the match
Players Form
To add weight to our tennis betting tips, we have fleshed out some details on three potential contenders ahead of the Hamburg Open.
We’ve delved into the data and recent performances. Although some sites for tennis betting carry stat packs, reading this could provide you with useful tennis betting insights.
Jannik Sinner
He may be 23, but Jannik Sinner is nowhere near his peak yet. The Italian World No.1 has a healthy advantage at the top of the rankings despite watching on from the sidelines for three months due to a doping indiscretion.
With 19 ATP Tour titles to his name at the time of writing, Sinner will be eager to send out a strong statement of intent ahead of the French Open. Although we haven’t got much by to go on this year apart from his successful defence of the Australian Open, Sinner is always an intimidating presence, and he could go deep at this tournament.
Holger Rune
Still clinging on in the top 10 is Holger Rune, but he is on an upward trajectory. The 22-year-old Dane walked off with the Barcelona Open trophy, stifling Carlos Alcaraz in the final in what proved to be quite one-sided.
Rune relishes the red dirt, and with his punishing groundstrokes, he should be viewed as a serious contender.
Lorenzo Musetti
Boasting an exquisite single-handed backhand and making things look effortless at times, Musetti, a former Hamburg Open champion, has had a strong build-up to the French Open this season. He reached the Monte Carlo Masters final and Madrid Open semi-finals, and there is no obvious flaw in his game.
A supreme competitor, Musetti has generally impressed us over the past few months with his flair on court, and he could well be a dark horse this week.
Previous Hamburg Open Winners
Below, we have noted the previous champions at the Hamburg Open over the past 10 years:
2024 – Arthur Fils
2023 – Alexander Zverev
2022 – Lorenzo Musetti
2021 – Pablo Carreño Busta
2020 – Andrey Rublev
2019 – Nikoloz Basilashvili
2018 - Nikoloz Basilashvili
2017 – Leonardo Mayer
2016 – Martin Kližan
2015 – Rafael Nadal
Suggested Bets
The finest tennis sites for betting will leave no stone unturned. They will be equipped with all the latest odds and developments for any given tournament.
It’s no different for the Hamburg Open. We’ve paid a visit to the top sportsbooks and revealed a few suggested bets that might be worth pursuing.
Jannik Sinner to win the Hamburg Open: Nothing beats match sharpness. That is, of course, something that Jannik Sinner has sorely missed for three months this term. However, a strong showing at his home tournament, the Italian Open, means he is moving through the gears ahead of the French Open, and he could well lay down a marker at the Hamburg Open. It wouldn’t be a surprise if he scooped the title here (3/2 with BetWinner).
Final to be decided in straight sets: Interestingly, three of the past five Hamburg Open finals went the distance, going the full three sets. However, depending on how things unfold over the week, we don’t necessarily think this trend might continue. Instead, we’re going with the winner to claim the title in straight sets, and many tennis sites for betting will carry this line (6/5 with 1xBet).
Holger Rune to reach at last the quarter-final: While Holger Rune was quite vocal in voicing his complaints about the conditions of the Italian Open courts, he may find the Hamburg Open more to his liking. Although he didn’t participate in this event last year, he should make a deep run. A quarter-final spot, at minimum, should be attainable for Rune (3/1 with BC.Game).
Hamburg Open Prediction: Jannik Sinner to Win
The absence of Alexander Zverev and Arthur Fils arguably blows the tournament wide open. We all know what Zverev is about even though he’s had his fair share of critics, while Fils is one of the most promising players on the ATP Tour circuit, and he’s destined to win big titles.
While Lorenzo Musetti is a former Hamburg champion and comfortable on clay, it remains to be seen whether he can keep the likes of Holger Rune and Jannik Sinner at bay. Rune has made massive strides, but Sinner relishes being the hunted. With his huge serve and agile footwork, he could well be tough to stop. Therefore, we are going with Sinner to take the spoils here.
Charles Perrin is a highly experienced sports betting content writer with over six years of working with some of the leading sportsbooks in the UK, including bet365 and William Hill.