Tennis
Nordea Open 2025 Preview – Odds, Tips, & Predictions
Dates: July 14-19 Venue: Båstad Tennis Stadium, Sweden Competition: Men’s Singles Defending champion: Nuno Borges After the thrills and spills of Wimbledon, the ATP Tour continues unabated this week with clay court tennis in the form of the Nordea Open. Coinciding with the EFG Swiss Open Gstaad and the Mifel Tennis Open, the Nordea Open has been an almost permanent fixture on the men’s circuit since 1948. The 250-series event has provided some memorable moments, which included Nuno Borges’ breakthrough title in 2024 when he defeated Rafael Nadal. The Portuguese star has a target on his back, and the best tennis betting sites will be brimming with outrights and specials to entice bettors.
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Portugal's Nuno Borges/Getty Images
32 players will line up this week in the draw, and apart from reigning champion Nuno Borges, Grigor Dimitrov and Francisco Cerundolo feature in the confirmed entry list.
This event has been short on homegrown winners, with Robin Soderling the last Swede to lift the title back in 2011.
There is a chance to gain some valuable ranking points, but who will come out on top this week? We’ve delved into the best betting sites for tennis and provided some insightful betting tips for you to feast on.
Pre-Game Odds and Win Probability
A brief return to clay will certainly appeal to the red dirt specialists, and the Nordea Open often provides some iconic moments.
To set the tone, we have headed over to one of our recommended online sports betting operators to see how the pre-tournament odds are shaping up.
Holger Rune – 7/1 (8.00) – 12.5%
Grigor Dimitrov – 13/1 (14.00) – 7.1%
Odds courtesy of Stake, subject to change.
Head-to-Head Record (Grigor Dimitrov vs Holger Rune)
Tennis stats for betting always provides some useful nuggets of information, and we’ve trawled through the archives.
Yes, we’ve assessed the head-to-head record between Grigor Dimitrov and Holger Rune. While Dimitrov is more of a hard-court exponent, Rune has proven his skill on clay with triumphs at 500 level.
Rune, for example, beat Carlos Alcaraz in the Barcelona Open final earlier this year, and boasts a huge forehand, while Dimitrov is cherished for his eye-catching single handed backhand.
Looking at the tale of the tape could go some way to executing your tennis betting strategies.
Past Few Meetings
April 11, 2024: (Monte Carlo Masters Round of 16): Holger Rune beat Grigor Dimitrov 7-6 (9), 3-6, 7-6 (2)
January 7, 2024: (Brisbane Open Final): Grigor Dimitrov beat Holger Rune 7-6 (5), 6-4
October 1, 2023: (Beijing Masters Round of 16): Grigor Dimitrov beat Holger Rune 6-3, 7-5
July 10, 2023: (Wimbledon Round of 16): Holger Rune beat Grigor Dimitrov 3-6, 7-6 (6), 7-6 (4), 6-3
Players Form
Whether we are exploring the tale of the tape of Grigor Dimitrov vs Holger Rune or providing other tennis betting insights, we can’t overlook the player form guide.
Some sites for betting on tennis matches will contain rudimentary data, but we don’t take anything at face value. We have lifted the lid on the Nordea Open, uncovering some stats and performances on the leading contenders that could be worth checking out.
Holger Rune
The fiery Dane, who is inside the world’s top 10, is a natural on clay. As mentioned, the victory over Alcaraz in the Barcelona Open final earlier this year was a statement win, and he likes to mix it up.
While he suffered a first-round exit at Wimbledon, Rune is always dreaming big, and he makes for box office viewing. At the time of writing, Rune had a 22-13 win record this season, and apart from making 64% of his first serves on the red dirt, he has saved 70% of his break points he has faced, so he is prepared to dig in. He could well go all the way.
Grigor Dimitrov
After a strong run at Wimbledon this year, Grigor Dimitrov has been enjoying a renaissance. While there were some concerns earlier this year about the nature of his early exits in Masters events, the Bulgarian has backed up his serve well, winning 75% of his points on his first serve, and has converted close to 50% of his break opportunities.
Dimitrov, who is desperate to try and claw his way back into the top 10. He’s had success on clay in the past, and he has all the tools in his locker to be a serious threat.
Nuno Borges
It’s fair to assert that Nuno Borges wasn’t on many tennis fans’ radar until last year. However, he has been climbing back up the rankings, and he’s inching closer to the top 30.
A superb win over Rafael Nadal in the Nordea Open final last year made us sit up and take notice, but then again, Nadal had endured a marathon run to the showpiece match, and he was in the swansong of his career.
Borges’ competitive spirit is unyielding, and he will relish the chance to defend his title. Whether he can go all the way this time and add to his trophy haul, though, remains to be seen.
Previous Nordea Open Winners
Some tennis sites for betting that might have information on the past few winners, but we’ve revealed the roll of honour in case you don’t already have that to hand.
2024 – Nuno Borges
2023 – Andrey Rublev
2022 – Francisco Cerundolo
2021 – Casper Ruud
2019 – Nicolas Jarry
Suggested Bets
We’ve scurried back over to some of our recommended betting sites for tennis in search of more value lines.
For the Nordea Open, we crave the variety, and the following markets might get the juices flowing.
Grigor Dimitrov to reach at least the quarter-final: Although Grigor Dimitrov suffered some punishing losses this year, he seems to have recovered over the past few weeks, and he’s looking like his old self again. His variety and delicious single-handed backhand could yield dividends and deliver him the title this weekend (5/1 with BC.Game).
Nuno Borges to win the Nordea Open: Despite being relatively unheralded, Nuno Borges’ Nordea Open win was a moment to savour, and he has fired 80 aces on the red dirt this term. He could well settle into his stride this week, and while it will be difficult to defend his title, you wouldn’t want to discount him (6/5 with 1xBet).
Winner of the Nordea Open to be decided in straight sets: The past few editions have been relatively routine, and they have been decided swiftly. The last time the final was decided in three sets was back in 2018 when Fabio Fognini edged out Richard Gasquet, and we don’t see a repeat of that this year, so we’ve gone with a straight sets winner (9/5 with BetWinner).
Nordea Open: Grigor Dimitrov to Win
Arguably one of the more decorated 250 events on the ATP Tour, the Nordea Open has attracted a decent field in the past, and Nuno Borges’ surprise win last year turned some heads.
Although he could come into the reckoning as perhaps will Holger Rune or Hubert Hurkacz with their clay court prowess, we’ve been impressed with Grigor Dimitrov. He’s made himself difficult to break down, and he’s got over his early-season slumber. The Bulgarian is our pick to prevail this weekend.
If you want to muscle in on the action, check out our best signup bonus sports betting offers and latch onto these before the tournament heats up.
Charles Perrin is a highly experienced sports betting content writer with over six years of working with some of the leading sportsbooks in the UK, including bet365 and William Hill.