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Osasuna vs Real Madrid Preview: Odds, Tips and Prediction

We preview the blockbuster La Liga clash between Osasuna and Real Madrid at El Sadar, Pamplona. Given that the game has a massive bearing on the La Liga title race, Madrid will know that nothing outside of three points is good enough, but the hosts will certainly not simply roll over. For fans wanting to ensure they are truly up to date with all things La Liga betting, we suggest following and engaging with only reputable online betting platforms for all of your football betting needs.

Ryan Liberty
Ryan Liberty

Last updated: 2026-02-17

Chad Nagel

4 minutes read

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Vinicius Junior of Real Madrid celebrates scoring his team's second goal

Vinicius Junior of Real Madrid celebrates scoring his team's second goal / Getty Images

Pre-Game Odds and Win Probability: Madrid Strong Favourites

  1. Osasuna: 15/4 (4.75) – 21.1%

  2. Draw: 14/5 (3.80) – 26.3%

  3. Real Madrid: 4/6 (1.67) – 59.9%
    Odds courtesy of 1Win

Head-to-Head Record

  1. 19/08/2025: Real Madrid 1-0 Osasuna 

  2. 15/02/2025: Osasuna 1-1 Real Madrid 

  3. 09/11/2024: Real Madrid 4-0 Osasuna 

  4. 16/03/2024: Osasuna 2-4 Real Madrid 

  5. 07/10/2023: Real Madrid 4-0 Osasuna 

Osasuna Current Form – WWDW

Although they have had a mixed bag of recent results, Osasuna still find themselves sitting mid-table and struggling to find any traction toward moving up. In fairness to them, they have been a gritty old team to face on their own patch and make it difficult for any side to visit El Sadar and have it all their own way. 
If Real Madrid pitch up and assume their opponents will simply roll over, they will be in for a surprise here. The defensive shape of the hosts leaves very few gaps in-behind and their pressing system asks for the ultimate commitment from the players – a commitment observed well throughout this season so far. 

Key Players to Watch

  • Ante Budimir 
    He is the man tasked with leading their attack, and through his hold-up play and instinct in front of goal, he has enjoyed a relatively impressive season in the number nine role. He will add an aerial presence that Real Madrid will have to contend with, and given his physicality, he will be a player you need to keep your eye on here. 
  • Ruben Garcia 
    For all his inconsistencies, Garcia is a relentless runner and a player who thrives where games become incredibly intense. He will have a big role to play in their overall press, but he is another threat in the final third for the hosts. 
  • Aimar Oroz 
    He is a midfielder with a creative spark and the ability to link both the home attack and defensive attributes. Keep an eye on him through those half-spaces, but don’t be surprised to see him pop up at set pieces as well. 

Real Madrid Current Form – WLWWW

The visitors come into this fixture in formidable form, but that will likely come as very little surprise to many. They have managed to earn impressive points in recent outings, and they will know they simply cannot afford to drop any points here. 

Madrid boasts an incredibly powerful squad, and it shows in their attacking outputs. They can stretch opponents' attacking systems and put pressure on their defensive structure at will – all of which makes them an incredibly reliable side for La Liga betting opportunities. 

Key Players to Watch

  • Jude Bellingham 
    His ability through the midfield for Real Madrid is simply out of this world. His influence in games is without question, but it is his work rate and intelligence on the pitch that make him capable of standing next to the very best to ever play this game. 
  • Vinicius Jr
    His pace and flair will always make him a difficult player to contend with, but he must be seen as an attacking threat here. He hasn’t always enjoyed his season with Real Madrid and their fans, but there can be no doubt over his ability. 
  • Rodrygo
    Another player with exceptional versatility, adding value across the entire front line of Madrid’s attacking options. He is a livewire, playing a brand of football that not many will be able to contain. Keep an eye on him here. 

Predicted Line-Ups

For punters wanting to find higher returns, these are our riskier options to take advantage of. 

  1. Osasuna 
    Herrera, Galán, Herrando, Catena, Rosier, Torro, I Munoz, V Munoz, Oroz, Garcia, Budimir. 

  2. Real Madrid 
    Courtois, Alexander-Arnold, Rudiger, Huijsen, Carreras, Valverde, Tchouameni, Camavinga, Guler, Garcia, Vini Jr. 

Suggested Bets

Here are our best bets ahead of this La Liga clash. 

  1. Real Madrid to Win: They come into this encounter with a superior form, with the head-to-head justifying our bullish backing of the visitors. (4/6 with 1xBet). 

  2. Over 2.5 Goals: Four of the last five meetings between these teams produced at least three goals. They both have attacking options, and neither can afford to sit on their laurels. (8/11 with Stake)

Value Bets

For punters wanting to find higher returns, these are our riskier options to take advantage of. 

  1. Jude Bellingham Anytime Goalscorer: His late surges into the box make this very appealing indeed. (2/1 with Pinnacle)

  2. Correct Score 1-3 Real Madrid: It's always going to be a risky bet, but Madrid has a superior attacking edge, and they have no choice but to push forward and attack with relentless consistency here. (12/1 with 888Starz)

Prediction: Away Win and Over 2.5 Goals 

Real Madrid will always come into this fixture as the favourites, but claiming all three points here will not simply be a walk in the park. The home form and inherent resilience of their opponents make this a rather tasty encounter – especially in the context of the entire season. 
The firepower of the visitors should be enough to see them over the line, though; they dominate the encounter historically and arguably have more to play for here. It is difficult to see past the away win, but for extra value, we suggest having a punt on the Madrid win and over 2.5 goals in what will likely be an incredibly competitive encounter. 

Ryan Liberty
Ryan LibertyBetting Writer

Ryan Liberty is an experienced sports writer whose articles have featured in some of the biggest sports publications in South Africa. With a strong understanding of all major sports and an in-depth understanding of betting, Ryan consistently delivers insightful content. He's also known for his ability to break down complex topics into engaging, reader-friendly pieces.

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