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  4. PFL 2025 Semi-Finals
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PFL 2025 Semi-Finals: Fabian Edwards vs Josh Silveira Preview

Date: Saturday, 28 June 2025 Time: 1:30 AM BST Venue: Wintrust Arena, Chicago, Illinois, USA Broadcaster: ESPN+ (US), DAZN (UK) SportsBoom previews the PFL 2025 Middleweight Semi-final clash between England’s Fabian Edwards and American grappling threat Josh Silveira, set for Friday, 27 June at The Theatre in Las Vegas. With both men holding identical 14-4 records and half a million-dollar prize edging closer, this is arguably the most balanced and tactical semi-final on the card. For punters, our partners offer the latest lines, and we've picked out the sharpest MMA betting angles below.

Joshua Gaillard
J.G.
Sports Writer

Last updated: 2025-06-24

Chad Nagel
Sports & Betting Editor

5 minutes read

SportsBoom offers honest and impartial bookmaker reviews to help you make informed choices. While we may earn commissions through affiliate links, our content remains independent and free from promotional influence. For more information, see our Content Transparency and How We Review pages.

 Josh Silveira faces off against Fabian Edwards after their wins

Josh Silveira/Getty Images

Table of Contents
  • Edwards Eyes PFL Breakthrough, Silveira Hunts Gold
  • Pre-Game Odds and Win Probability: Edwards Slight Favourite
  • Tale of the Tape
  • Fabian Edwards News
  • Josh Silveira News
  • Suggested Bets
  • Value Bets
  • Prediction: Josh Silveira to Win via Submission

Edwards Eyes PFL Breakthrough, Silveira Hunts Gold

This main event delivers a style clash: Fabian Edwards, the rangy southpaw with sniper-like kicks and measured footwork, takes on Josh Silveira, a pressure-heavy wrestler who’s been quietly grinding through the PFL ranks.
Edwards, younger brother of UFC champ Leon Edwards, made a strong debut earlier this season with a split decision win over Mike Shipman. Known for his control and composure, he’s looking to bring his Bellator pedigree into the PFL finals.
Silveira, meanwhile, has quietly amassed a 7-4 PFL record and comes off a grinding win over Impa Kasanganay in April. His wrestling is relentless, and once he secures top control, most strikers struggle to withstand the pressure. A win here could secure his spot as one of the most consistent PFL performers of the last two seasons.

Both men are 32 years old, evenly matched on paper, and represent two vastly different roads to the final.
Outside the main event, the 2025 PFL Semi-finals offer plenty to chew on. Denis Goltsov returns in the heavyweight bracket, bringing his clinical style into a scrap with Tim Johnson, who tends to drag opponents into deep waters whether they like it or not. At light heavyweight, Impa Kasanganay will try to steady the ship against stiff opposition, while Tom Breese lurks as a middleweight spoiler.
Sadibou Sy is also back in the mix. He’s rangy, awkward, and when he’s switched on, he can take the air out of any fight with clean kicks and constant movement. The problem is that the switch isn’t always on.

Altogether, this is a semi-final card with something on every line. Veterans are hanging on, contenders are breaking through, and a few fighters know this might be their last real run.

Pre-Game Odds and Win Probability: Edwards Slight Favourite

  1. Fabian Edwards: 8/15 (1.53) – 65.4%

  2. Josh Silveira: 6/4 (2.50) – 40.0%

    Odds courtesy of Stake, subject to change.

    Among today’s top online betting sites, Stake offers aggressive lines and deep MMA props. Whether you're new to the scene or an experienced bettor, this bout delivers excellent betting angles across styles and rounds.

Tale of the Tape

Attribute Fabian EdwardsJoshua Silveira
Age 3232
Height 6'1" (185cm)6'1" (185cm)
Weight 185.6 lbs (86kg)185.6 lbs (86kg)
Reach 79.0" (201cm)75.0" (191cm)
Record 14-4-014-4-0
KO/TKO 36% (5 wins)43% (6 wins)
Submission 21% (3 wins)43% (6 wins)
Decisions 43% (6 wins)14% (2 wins)

Both fighters are physically identical, but their finishing methods speak volumes. Silveira is submission-heavy and excels in control time. Edwards prefers picking opponents apart and winning exchanges across three rounds.

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Fabian Edwards News

Fabian Edwards has long lived in the shadow of his world champion brother, but 2025 may finally be his breakout campaign. Since moving over from Bellator, Edwards has brought with him the same poise, fight IQ, and timing that made him a perennial top-five threat overseas.
He debuted in PFL with a hard-fought split decision over Mike Shipman, showing off leg kicks, superior movement, and a willingness to adapt under fire. He’s now won four of his last five fights and has improved his takedown defense, a critical piece against Silveira.
There are still questions about how Edwards handles long periods on the mat. If this stays upright, he has a serious edge. A win puts him in his first PFL final and moves him into the title conversation across the MMA world.

Fabian Edwards throws a knee against Impa Kasanganay

Fabian Edwards and  Impa Kasanganay/Getty Images 

Josh Silveira News

Josh Silveira has been quietly stacking wins and wearing down names in the PFL middleweight mix. A product of American Top Team and son of coaching royalty, Conan Silveira, he doesn’t rely on flash. He breaks opponents down with smart wrestling. He keeps the pressure constant from bell to bell. His gas tank holds up deep into fights, and that’s often where he takes over.

In his last outing, he outpointed 2023 champ Impa Kasanganay over three grinding rounds. Silveira stuck to his blueprint. He mixed constant level changes with heavy top control and well-timed ground-and-pound to stay ahead on the cards. Before that, he mixed close decisions with a couple of clean submissions that reminded everyone why he’s always a threat once it hits the mat.
Silveira’s blueprint is simple: drag opponents into deep waters, control posture, and wear them down. Edwards is the most technical striker he’s faced yet, but Silveira has thrived in these matchups before. If he can get past Edwards, he’ll enter his second PFL final in two years, this time with real momentum.

Josh Silveira throws a punch against Mike Shipman

Josh Silveira and Mike Shipman / Getty Images

Suggested Bets

  1. Josh Silveira to Win by Submission: Silveira’s clearest path to victory is on the mat. He has six submission wins and thrives when in control. 2/1 (3.00) – 33.3%

  2. Fight Goes the Distance: This matchup could go the full three rounds despite stylistic pressure. 19/20 (1.95) – 51.3%

  3. Fabian Edwards to Win by Decision: If Edwards manages the distance and keeps it upright, he can outpoint Silveira. 11/4 (3.75) – 26.7%

Value Bets

  1. Josh Silveira to Win in Round 2: If he breaks Edwards' rhythm early, this is the window where a finish feels likely. 11/2 (6.50) – 15.4%

  2. Fabian Edwards to Win via KO/TKO: Edwards is accurate and dangerous in space. One clean shot could shift the entire fight. 9/2 (5.50) – 18.2%

  3. Fight to End in a Draw: With contrasting styles and a potential swing round, this long shot has a path. 50/1 (51.00) – 2.0%

Prediction: Josh Silveira to Win via Submission

This is a classic striker-versus-grappler contest with real playoff weight. Edwards has the polish and IQ to make this frustrating for Silveira, but the American’s control and finishing instincts are too strong to ignore. Expect Silveira to get in close, force scrambles, and eventually take the back or lock in a choke. It won’t be easy, but he should get it done.

Whether you're siding with Edwards’ precision or Silveira’s grinding pace, there’s good value on offer ahead of this one. Those watching the markets closely might even spot a sign up bonus worth taking into the final round.

Joshua Gaillard
Joshua Gaillard Sports Writer

Joshua Gaillard is a freelance editor and dedicated Arsenal fan, known for creating fact-based, insightful content. His work, featured on top South African websites, blends analysis with engaging storytelling for clear, impactful articles.

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Table of Contents
  • Edwards Eyes PFL Breakthrough, Silveira Hunts Gold
  • Pre-Game Odds and Win Probability: Edwards Slight Favourite
  • Tale of the Tape
  • Fabian Edwards News
  • Josh Silveira News
  • Suggested Bets
  • Value Bets
  • Prediction: Josh Silveira to Win via Submission
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