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Chelsea vs Crystal Palace Preview: Odds, Tips and Prediction

Date: Sunday, 17 August 2025 Kickoff Time: 17:00 BST Venue: Stamford Bridge SportsBoom previews Chelsea vs Crystal Palace at Stamford Bridge on Saturday, 16 August 2025. The Blues start another season with Enzo Maresca and another shopping cart full of signings, while Palace roll up looking to spoil the London party. Premier League betting fans will already be watching this one closely, with plenty of markets drawing attention ahead of kick-off.

Joshua Gaillard
J.G.

Last updated: 2025-08-11

Chad Nagel

6 minutes read

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Joao Pedro #20 of Chelsea FC celebrates scoring his team's third goal

Joao Pedro / Getty Images

Pre-Game Outlook: Chelsea to set marker in London Derby Opener

Chelsea ended last season fourth, finally looking something like a team rather than a collection of expensive ideas. Palace finished a solid 12th and will be without their former star Michael Olise, now lighting up Bayern Munich. Chelsea is unbeaten in their last five straight in this fixture, turning what’s billed as a derby into something closer to an annual exhibition game. For Palace, a draw would be considered a win; for Chelsea, anything but three points and a fan-funded Twitter might melt down.

Pre-Game Odds and Win Probability: Chelsea Heavy Favourites

  1. Chelsea: 4/9 (1.44) – 69.2%

  2. Draw: 10/3 (4.33) – 23.1%

  3. Crystal Palace: 13/2 (7.50) – 13.3%
    *Odds courtesy of Betway, subject to change.

Head-to-Head Record

Last Five Meetings (Premier League):

  1. 04/01/25: Crystal Palace 1-1 Chelsea

  2. 01/09/24: Chelsea 1-1 Crystal Palace

  3. 12/02/24: Crystal Palace 1-3 Chelsea

  4. 27/12/23: Chelsea 2-1 Crystal Palace

  5. 15/01/23: Chelsea 1-0 Crystal Palace

Chelsea: Current Form – WWLWL

Chelsea ended last season with three wins from their final five matches, including a comfortable away victory at Selhurst Park that highlighted their ability to control games against mid-table sides. Their summer activity focused on plugging defensive gaps and adding younger attacking options, trimming players who struggled to consistently contribute. The result is a slightly leaner, more balanced squad built around a core that already produced 69 league goals last season.

At Stamford Bridge, Chelsea were tough to beat, losing only two home fixtures throughout the entire campaign. Their style under Maresca encourages heavy possession and fluid attacking movement, with an emphasis on pressing opponents high up the pitch. Defensively, there is still a need for improvement in transitions, but overall, this is a side that looks ready to build on its top-four finish. For an opening game against a Palace team still adjusting to life without one of their main creative outlets, Chelsea will feel they have the structure and depth to start strong.

Joao Pedro #20 of Chelsea FC celebrates scoring his team's third goal

Joao Pedro / Getty Images

Key Players to Watch

  • Cole Palmer: Chelsea’s creative engine with 15 goals and 8 assists in the league last season. Dead balls, penalties, and clutch moments all run through him.
  • João Pedro: The versatile summer signing adds movement and creativity in the final third, giving Chelsea more attacking flexibility.
  • Enzo Fernandez: The midfield anchor who dictates tempo and breaks opposition lines with his passing range, essential for Chelsea’s control-based approach.

Chelsea Team News

Chelsea has a mostly fit squad heading into the opener. Reece James is recovering from a hamstring issue and may feature later in August, while Benoît Badiashile faces a late fitness test. New signing João Pedro is available and could debut in attack, with Enzo Fernández expected to anchor midfield.

Crystal Palace: Current Form – WDWDL

Crystal Palace finished last season in a respectable mid-table position, earning 53 points and avoiding the late-season relegation conversations that often haunt clubs outside the top half. A strong late run, which included two impressive derby wins over Tottenham and Fulham, suggests Oliver Glasner’s approach of sitting compact and hitting on the counter can deliver results, but I am sure fans will not expect such a boring watch the whole season. The challenge now is maintaining that productivity without one of their top creative contributors from last season, who left for a European giant.

Defensively, Palace conceded 55 goals across the league campaign, though they recorded eight clean sheets that reflected a disciplined backline. The attacking workload falls heavily on Eberechi Eze and Jean-Philippe Mateta, a pairing that produced most of their scoring threat in last season’s efforts. On the road, Palace were inconsistent, often struggling to recover when conceding early. Facing a Chelsea side that tends to dominate possession at home will require patience, resilience, and clinical finishing on the counter. Palace know how to frustrate bigger teams, but doing it at Stamford Bridge has historically been an uphill battle that they hardly ever get right.

Eberechi Eze of Crystal Palace FC and Jeffrey Gouweleeuw of FC Augsburg

Eberechi Eze  and Jeffrey Gouweleeuw / Getty Images

Key Players to Watch

  • Eberechi Eze: Palace’s creative lifeline, contributing 11 goals and 7 assists last season.
  • Jean-Philippe Mateta: Nine league goals and a physical presence make him the main outlet for counter-attacks.
  • Marc Guehi: The England international centre-back tasked with keeping Chelsea’s attackers quiet.

Crystal Palace Team News

New arrivals goalkeeper Walter Benítez and left-back Borna Sosa from PSV and Ajax, respectively, are available, while Jefferson Lerma (ankle) and Chadi Riad are doubtful. Otherwise, Palace travel with a near full-strength squad and their usual setup.

Predicted Line-Up

  1. Chelsea (4-2-3-1):
    Sanchez; Gusto, Chalobah, Colwill, Cucurella; Caicedo, Fernandez; Gittens, Palmer, Neto; Pedro

  2. Crystal Palace (3-4-3):
    Henderson; Guehi, Lacroix, Mitchell; Hughes, Doucoure, Sosa, Kamada; Eze, Mateta, Sarr

Suggested Bets

Check the betting rules for each market to understand how outcomes like combined bets, goalscorer picks, and totals are settled.

  1. Chelsea to Win & Over 2.5 Goals: Chelsea at home, opening day energy, and Palace still figuring out life without their former creative spark. This feels like one of those “welcome to the big boys’ table” kind of fixtures. 2.00 (Evens) – 50.0% with Stake

  2. Both Teams to Score: Palace are annoyingly good at nicking one even when under the cosh. Think of it as their “souvenir goal” before heading back down the M23 empty‑handed. 2.10 (11/10) – 47.6% with 1Win

  3. Cole Palmer Anytime Goalscorer: He takes pens, free kicks, and generally acts like Stamford Bridge is his personal playground. 2.40 (7/5) – 41.7% with Betandyou

Value Bets

  1. Eze Anytime Goalscorer: If Palace are going to score, it’s probably through their talisman doing something ridiculous. If this lands, buy a lottery ticket. 5.00 (4/1) – 20.0% with BetWinner

  2. Draw at Half-Time: Chelsea may need 45 minutes to figure out how to break the wall of red and blue shirts. The value’s there if you enjoy sweating boredom early on. 4.00 (3/1) – 25.0% with Pinnacle

  3. Exact Score 2-1 Chelsea: Because this is Chelsea vs Palace, and apparently, we’re all stuck in a time loop where it always finishes like this. 9.50 (17/2) – 10.5% with Betway

Prediction: Chelsea Win

Chelsea has the firepower, home crowd, and historical edge in this London derby, but Crystal Palace are built to spoil parties and can be stubborn when they sit deep. Expect the opening 30 minutes to feel like Chelsea passing in circles while Palace wait for a counter-punch opportunity. Eventually, and painstakingly for the away fans, quality in midfield and Palmer’s creativity should open the game up, with Joao Pedro grabbing a debut goal to seal it (all the Blues’ fans have crossed fingers and toes). Palace might nick one late, but Chelsea should still start the season with three points.

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Joshua Gaillard
Joshua Gaillard Sports Writer

Joshua Gaillard is a freelance editor and dedicated Arsenal fan, known for creating fact-based, insightful content. His work, featured on top South African websites, blends analysis with engaging storytelling for clear, impactful articles.