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Newcastle United vs Chelsea Preview: Odds, Tips and Prediction

Date: 11 May 2025 Kick-off time (UK): 12:00 Venue: St. James’ Park Newcastle United host Chelsea in Premier League action at St. James’ Park on Sunday, 11 May 2025. As we head into the final few fixtures and with Champions League football for next season on the line for these two sides, there will be plenty of value for Premier League betting fans to extract from the tie.

Nigel Naicker

Betting Writer

Last updated: 2025-05-06

Fact checked by:

Chad Nagel

Sports & Betting Editor

5 minutes read

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Bruno Guimaraes battles for possession with Wesley Fofana//Getty Images

Table of Contents

Newcastle welcome Chelsea to Tyneside in a crunch match as both sides vie for a Champions League spot for next season’s competition.

The Blues ran out 2-1 winners the last time these sides played each other earlier in the season, after Nicolas Jackson and Cole Palmer scored either side of an Alexander Isak strike to seal victory for Enzo Maresca’s side.

Eddie Howe’s outfit have grown into form of late and have picked up silverware after winning the EFL Cup, a competition they got the better of the visitors in the Round of 16 stage.

Pre-Game Odds and Win Probability

Home: 13/5 (3.60) – 42.6%
Draw: 5/2 (3.50) – 20.6%
Away: 11/10 (2.10) – 40.8%
Odds courtesy of Betway, subject to change.

Head-to-Head Record

27/10/24 – Chelsea 2-1 Newcastle
11/03/24 – Chelsea 3-2 Newcastle
25/11/23 – Newcastle 4-1 Chelsea
28/05/23 – Chelsea 1-1 Newcastle
12/11/22 – Newcastle 1-0 Chelsea

Newcastle United Current Form – WWWLW

Howe’s side has won four of the previous five games and lost just once, albeit getting thrashed 4-1 in that game against Aston Villa. They are firmly chasing a top-four finish and have been excellent since the turn of the year following a slow start to the season.

Key Players to Watch

Anthony Gordon: The Englishman has been excellent down the wing for Howe’s side. Gordon can play on the right and the left and has 11 goal contributions in 30 Premier League games.
Alexander Isak: The Swede has been very impressive for the Magpies. Isak has 22 goals and six assists and has been one of the best performers in the Premier League this season.
Harvey Barnes: The 27-year-old has been a key contributor for Newcastle this season and has managed to play 29 times for the Toon Army which is valuable minutes and has allowed him to show us what he is really capable of. 13 goal contributions in that time is an excellent return for Barnes.

Newcastle United Team News

Jamaal Lascelles and Joelinton both have knee issues, while Lewis Hall has a foot problem and will miss the Blues' visit on Sunday. As we enter the crunch fixtures, Howe will need every member of his side available to make a difference.

Chelsea Current Form – WDDWW

The Blues are well within the race for Champions League football and are unbeaten in their previous five encounters coming into this crucial tie. Maresca’s side has two draws and three wins and is one of the form sides as we enter the business end of the season.

GettyImages-2181344403Nicolas Jackson of Chelsea.jpg

Key Players to watch

Cole Palmer: Palmer is a joy to watch and even though he has struggled with form lately, his stats of 22 goal contributions in 33 Premier League matches make him one of the standout players in the division.
Nicolas Jackson: The Senegalese has just returned from injury but is back in the goals. His ten strikes and five assists in 28 matches make him a key contributor for Maresca’s side in the final third.
Enzo Fernandez: The Argentine has taken on more responsibility this season and has managed to register 12 goal contributions in 32 Premier League matches.

Chelsea Team News

The Chelsea squad has a few hamstring strains to deal with as Omari Kellyman, Marc Guiu, Wesley Fofana, and Aaron Anselmino are all nursing hamstring issues. Malo Gusto has a muscle problem and will also miss the trip to Newcastle, while Robert Sanchez and Christopher Nkunku both have knocks but should be fit for the game against the Magpies.

Predicted Line-Ups

Newcastle United: 4-3-3: Dubravka, Trippier, Schar, Burn, Livramento, Tonali, Guimaraes, Barnes, Murphy, Isak, Gordon
Chelsea (4-3-3): Sanchez, Caicedo, Chalobah, Colwill, Cucurella, Lavia, Enzo Fernandez, Neto, Sancho, Palmer, Jackson

Suggested Bets

Reliable sportsbooks can offer solid options for Premier League wagers, and our suggested and value bets highlight selections worth considering this week.

Over 2.5 Goals: Both these sides have Champions League ambitions for next season and will be playing on the front foot, so expect goals. (49/100 with Betway)
Both Teams to Score (Yes): Backing both teams to find the net is practical here. They both have firepower in attack. (47/100 with Betway)
Given the competitive odds offered, Betway remains a popular choice among punters, learn more in our in-depth Betway review.

Value Bets

Be sure to take advantage of the most valuable football betting offers in the match to maximize your potential winnings and enhance your overall betting experience.

Draw: With so much riding on the tie, it is likely they cancel each other out at St. James’ Park. (59/20 with Stake)
Alexander Isak Anytime Goal Scorer: The lanky striker has been one of the best forwards in the league this season. Back Isak to add to his tally of 22 goals. (Forecast odds: 3/1)
If you are ready to place a bet after all the insights above, these are some of the best sportsbooks with great welcome bonuses for you to explore.

Prediction: Draw

The stage is set for an absolute cracker at St. James’ Park. With Champions League football on the line, both Howe and Maresca will be desperate for their sides to claim all three points, but it seems likely that they will cancel each other out. Goals will be on the menu, but there will be no separating the two on the day, considering the importance of the game. Given the stakes of this match, understanding the key betting rules can help you make more informed decisions when placing your bets.

Nigel NaickerBetting Writer

With a decade of sports writing expertise, Nigel Naicker has crafted compelling content across football leagues like the Premier League and UEFA Champions League, as well as cricket and UFC. A passionate storyteller since 2014, Nigel joins the SportsBoom team, ready to deliver insightful narratives across various sports disciplines.