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Tottenham vs Burnley Preview: Odds, Tips and Prediction

Date: Saturday, 16 August 2025 Kickoff Time: 15:00 BST Venue: Tottenham Hotspur Stadium SportsBoom previews Tottenham vs Burnley at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium on Saturday, 16 August 2025. The newly established Thomas Frank era at Spurs begins with the visit of a newly promoted Burnley eager to prove they belong. Our Premier League betting page highlights the best markets heading into this season-opener.

Joshua Gaillard
J.G.

Last updated: 2025-08-12

Chad Nagel

5 minutes read

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Dominic Solanke of Tottenham Hotspur celebrates scoring his team's second goal

Dominic Solanke / Getty Images

Pre-Game Outlook: New Spurs Era Meets Premier League Return Clarets

Tottenham start life under Thomas Frank with what looks, on paper, like a gentle warm-up before the real chaos begins. Burnley arrive fresh from bullying the Championship, which is a bit like topping the karaoke contest before performing at Wembley. Spurs, buoyed by last season’s Europa League win, will want to show the home crowd that they mean business. Burnley’s plan will be to sit deep, waste time, and hope a counter-attack sticks. Tottenham’s plan will be to ruin that dream before half-time.

Pre-Game Odds and Win Probability: Spurs Heavy Favourites

  1. Tottenham: 1/3 (1.33) – 75.0%

  2. Draw: 4/1 (5.00) – 20.0%

  3. Burnley: 15/2 (8.50) – 11.8%
    *Odds courtesy of Betway, subject to change.

Head-to-Head Record

Last Five Meetings (Premier League):

  1. 11 May 2024: Tottenham 2-1 Burnley

  2. 2 September 2023: Burnley 2-5 Tottenham

  3. 15 May 2022: Tottenham 1-0 Burnley

  4. 23 February 2022: Burnley 1-0 Tottenham

  5. 28 February 2021: Tottenham 4-0 Burnley 

  6. Overall in the Premier League: Played 18 | Tottenham Wins: 12 | Burnley Wins: 3 | Draws: 3

Tottenham: Current Form – DDWDL

Tottenham wrapped up last season by lifting the Europa League, which is basically the footballing equivalent of winning the “Best Supporting Actor” award. Still impressive, but not quite the Oscar. 

Three wins from their final four league games helped keep the mood sweet, and now Thomas Frank is tasked with turning that cup-night sparkle into something sustainable over 38 games. Frank’s brand of organised chaos should blend nicely with Spurs’ existing habit of making things far more entertaining than they need to be. 

Mohammed Kudus has arrived from West Ham with a suitcase full of tricks, swagger, and a polite disregard for defending. Brennan Johnson is still one of the league’s purest direct threats, while Cristian Romero continues to be both a rock and a liability, depending on which side of the bed he wakes up on. 
At home last season, Spurs had no mercy for sides who came to park the bus, and Burnley look ready to rent an entire fleet of them. Unless Tottenham somehow forget how to score, three points should be the bare minimum.

Key Players to Watch

  • Brennan Johnson: The Europa League final hero who thrives on big moments.
  • Mohammed Kudus: New signing who can dismantle defences with a mix of pace, control, and chaos.
  • Cristian Romero: Spurs’ defensive enforcer who relishes the physical battles Burnley bring.

Tottenham Team News

Radu Drăgușin, Dejan Kulusevski, and James Maddison are out. Destiny Udogie, Kota Takai, Manor Solomon, and Dominic Solanke are doubtful. Kudus is available and could debut, with Richarlison leading the line.

Burnley: Current Form – WWDWL

Burnley return to the Premier League after a Championship campaign that was the footballing equivalent of a cheat code: 100 points, 16 goals conceded, and 30 clean sheets. That dominance, however, now faces the reality of top-flight football, where mistakes are punished quickly and often. 

Scott Parker inherits a team that knows how to defend but will need to adapt to the pace, physicality, and technical level of the league. Burnley’s approach here will be pragmatic: stay compact, frustrate the home crowd, and look for rare opportunities to break forward through the pace of Lyle Foster or the creativity of Jaidon Anthony. 

Josh Cullen will be key in midfield, breaking up play and launching transitions with his energy and range of passing. Their away record in the Championship was impressive, but visiting Tottenham Hotspur Stadium is a different animal altogether. If they can keep Spurs scoreless for an hour, the pressure might shift; however, if they concede early, it could be a long 90 minutes that feels like double the length for the travelling Clarets supporters.

Key Players to Watch

  • Josh Cullen: The engine in midfield, tasked with disrupting Spurs’ rhythm.
  • Jaidon Anthony: After promotion, Burnley was obligated to buy the winger, and I’m sure everyone involved had no complaints with such a successful loan spell.
  • Lyle Foster: The South African forward whose experience will be crucial in managing counter-attacks with pace and precision.

Burnley Team News

Zeki Amdouni is out. Bashir Humphreys is doubtful. Parker is expected to maintain his disciplined structure.

Predicted Line-Up

  1. Tottenham (4-2-3-1):
    Vicario (GK); Spence, Romero, van de Ven, Porro; Bentancur, Palhinha; Johnson, Sarr, Kudus; Richarlison

  2. Burnley (4-2-3-1):
    Dubravka (GK); Walker, Esteve, Ekdal, Hartman; Laurent, Cullen; Edwards, Mejbri, Anthony; Foster

Suggested Bets

These picks align with common betting strategies that focus on combining team performance trends with opponent weaknesses to identify value

  1. Tottenham to Win & Over 2.5 Goals: Spurs should dominate possession and chances, while Burnley’s defensive record will be tested early. 19/20 (1.95) – 51.3% with Stake

  2. Brennan Johnson Anytime Goalscorer: Comes into the season full of confidence and thrives against newly promoted sides. 7/5 (2.40) – 41.7% with 1Win

  3. Tottenham to Score in Both Halves: Spurs’ attacking depth and Burnley’s expected low block mean sustained pressure, and if they score early, a second goal later is highly likely. 10/11 (1.91) – 52.4% with Betway

Value Bets

  1. Draw at Half-Time: Burnley may hold firm early before Spurs’ quality tells. 11/4 (3.75) – 26.7% with BetWinner

  2. Exact Score 2-0 Tottenham: Reflects Spurs’ likely control without turning it into a cricket score. 7/1 (8.00) – 12.5% with Pinnacle

  3. Mohammed Kudus to Score from Outside the Box: His flair and willingness to shoot from distance make this an appealing long shot. 9/2 (5.50) – 18.2% with Betway

Prediction: Tottenham Win

Burnley will show up organised, disciplined, and ready to work for every yard. Unfortunately for them, Spurs will show up with a shiny new manager, a crowd eager for goals, and attackers who see this as target practice. Expect Parker’s side to cling to their structure for as long as possible, maybe even frustrating the home fans with some deep defending and time-wasting. The problem is that once Spurs find a way through, the floodgates usually open. Brennan Johnson’s pace, Kudus’ creativity, and Richarlison’s ability to irritate defenders for 90 minutes should be too much for a newly promoted side still adjusting to Premier League speed. Spurs begin the Frank era with a controlled and comfortable win.

New bettors can boost their potential returns on these value picks by taking advantage of a sportsbook’s welcome bonus before placing their wagers.

Joshua Gaillard
Joshua Gaillard Sports Writer

Joshua Gaillard is a freelance editor and dedicated Arsenal fan, known for creating fact-based, insightful content. His work, featured on top South African websites, blends analysis with engaging storytelling for clear, impactful articles.

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