Football
Villarreal vs Real Valladolid Preview: Odds, Tips and Prediction
Date: February 1, 2025 Kickoff Time: 15:15 (UK Time) Venue: Estadi de la Ceramica SportsBoom previews the eagerly anticipated La Liga match between Villarreal and Real Valladolid at the Estadi de la Ceramica on Saturday, 1 February 2025. With the match fast approaching, La Liga bettors are carefully evaluating the odds and team stats to identify the most lucrative bets. For expert advice and crucial insights, be sure to read our comprehensive match analysis. Marcelino’s Villarreal are punching above their weight, currently occupying fifth spot in La Liga which qualifies the ‘Yellow Submarine’ to set sail in next season’s UEFA Europa League.
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Alex Baena and Yeremy Pino//Getty Images
Meanwhile, Diego Cocca targets safety in Spain’s top-division with bottom-of-the-log, Real Valladolid, after an underwhelming first four La Liga matches at the helm, suffering three defeats and claiming just a solitary victory, it doesn’t bode well for the Argentine manager. Villarreal come into the clash full of confidence after cancelling out title-chasing Atletico Madrid (1-1) away at the Riyadh Air Metropolitano in a gritty performance following their 4-0 drubbing of Mallorca.
If you’re looking to place your bets on this thrilling La Liga showdown, make sure to explore our recommended betting sites for the best odds and offers.
Villarreal have only tasted defeat once in five La Liga matches, away at Real Sociedad (1-0), easing past Leganes (5-2) and Mallorca (4-0), coming off an impressive display against Atletico Madrid. It’s no surprise that Marcelino’s ambitious team are the bookies favourites winning four of the past five meetings against Real Valladolid.
PRE-GAME ODDS AND WIN PROBABILITY
VILLARREAL SHORT-PRICED FAVORITES
HOME: 1/4 (1.25) – 80%
DRAW: 54/10 (6.40) – 15,6%
AWAY: 9/1 (10.00) – 10%
*Odds courtesy of Betway, subject to change
HEAD-TO-HEAD RECORD
Last Five Meetings (La Liga)
26/10/24: Real Valladolid 1-2 Villarreal
15/04/23: Villarreal 1-2 Real Valladolid
13/08/22: Real Valladolid 0-3 Villarreal
13/05/21: Real Valladolid 0-2 Villarreal
02/11/20: Villarreal 2-0 Real Valladolid
VILLARREAL: CURRENT FORM – DWLWD
Villarreal under the guidance of Marcelino have been surpassing expectations, with their target firmly set on qualifying for European football next season. The Yellow Submarine emerged as one the favourites to do so, after a determined showing in the stalemate against title-chasing Atletico Madrid (1-1).
"Drawing here is a very good result but I think we suffered a lot at the start and then from the goal to the end we had many chances. After their goal, they had their chances and we had ours."
"We have attacking players who are performing well. You can't beat Atlético just by defending well. We're looking for fresh players for the final stretch... We had our chances. The result can be considered fair, with a bit of luck we could have taken the victory." Marcelino stated.
"Our intention was to win the match. You can't come here seeing Atletico's dynamic in the final minutes and just wait around... We had good players and we had the chance to dominate. They can score a goal in any play but our intention was to come here to win and suffer as little as possible in the final stretch."
Marcelino has found the perfect balance in a team that has the best of both worlds, able to dominate matches against lower-half-of-the-table teams while grinding our results after suffering without ball possession against the very best teams in La Liga.
KEY PLAYERS TO WATCH
- Alex Baena: Interest has grown in the 23-year-old midfielder during the last 18 months, largely due to his consistency. Baena has scored five goals in La Liga this season with five assists to his name. Definitely one to look out for in this match and in the future of Spanish football.
- Thierno Barry: Villarreal’s big-money summer transfer from Basel has hit his straps early in La Liga, scoring seven goals with three assists. The 195cm tall French striker is a towering figure in attack, creating a decent partnership with Gerard Moreno.
- Ayoze Perez: The 31-year-old has proven to be an excellent summer signing, accumulating eight goals from 14 appearances since swapping the green and white of Real Betis for the Yellow of Villarreal. His performances have earned a national team call-up where he scored and assisted for Spain in their 2-1 victory over Denmark.
VILLARREAL TEAM NEWS
Veteran midfielder Dani Parejo (foot injury), Alfonso Pedraza (ankle injury), and young Moroccan attacker Ilias Akhomach (ACL knee injury) will be unavailable for the Yellow Submarine.
REAL VALLADOLID: CURRENT FORM – LLWLW
Real Valladolid have struggled without their marquee-signing Raul Moro from Lazio. After the diminutive playmaker suffered a broken collarbone in the 2-1 defeat to fellow-relegation threatened Espanyol. Manager Diego Cocca was dumped out of the Copa del Rey by struggling third-tier club Ourense (3-2) which worsens his case in showing improvement after taking charge of the White-and-Violets.
If you thought there couldn’t be any more negatives for Real Valladolid, promising defender Juma Bah paid up his own release clause with the Spanish Football Federation (RFEF) and joined English Premier League champions Manchester City, who have now sent him on loan at French club Lens. Meanwhile, Midfielder Kike Perez will also leave the club to pursue a new life project in Italy.
Following their 3-0 loss to Real Madrid, manager Diego Cocca stated, "I have the work ethic and faith that we can turn things around. We are focused on building a solid footballing philosophy and strengthening our morale. This week will be crucial in securing the reinforcements we need to create the squad we envision."
KEY PLAYERS TO WATCH
- Karl Hein: The Estonian goalkeeper on loan from English Premier League club Arsenal will have his hands full in this game, having to display his talents between the posts of the team that has faced the most shots on target in La Liga.
- Selim Amallah: The Moroccan attacker spent last season on loan at Valencia (his first in Spain), returning to Real Valladolid in the summer. Amallah was one of the standout players for his country at the Africa Cup of Nations tournament and will be aiming to replicate those levels of performance to help his club become more clinical in the final third.
- Mamadou Sylla: The Senegalese winger has the pace to take on opposition defenders during attacking transitions with his raw speed and power. If Real Valladolid are to upset the home team, Sylla will be required to put in a stellar performance while being starved of ball possession.
REAL VALLADOLID TEAM NEWS
Raul Moro (broken collarbone) and Swiss defender Eray Comert (hamstring) will remain on the sidelines with suspended midfielder Mario Martin who received a red card against Real Madrid.
PREDICTED LINE-UPS
Villarreal: 4-4-2
Luiz Junior; Femenia, Foyth, Costa, Cardona; Pino, Gueye, Perez, Baena; Moreno, Barry.
Real Valladolid: 4-3-3
Hein; Perez, Javi Sanchez, Torres, Rosa; Anuar, Ozkacar, Amallah; Ivan Sanchez, Andre, Sylla.
SUGGESTED BETS
If you love betting on La Liga, here are some bets you can place at some of the top football sportsbooks.
Multigoals Home Team: (1-3) Villarreal have scored two goals in the past three meetings with Real Valladolid. Not much on offer, this is a safe option. (40/100 with Betway) (40/100 with Stake) (40/100 with 1Win)
Over 2.5 Goals: With the same thoughts in mind, this bet holds strong appeal. (45/100 with Betway) (45/100 with Stake)(45/100 with 1Win)
Double Chance and Overs/Unders (Total 2.5): Villarreal/Draw & Over 2.5 seems the way to go, following the trend from most recent head-to-head meetings. (50/100 with Betway) (50/100 with Stake) (50/100 with 1Win)
VALUE BETS
Clean Sheet Home Team: Seeing as Villarreal has kept two clean sheets during Real Valladolid’s last three visits, this could be a profitable selection. (85/100 with Betway) (85/100 with Stake) (85/100 with 1Win)
Double Chance & Both Teams to Score: Villarreal/Draw & Yes in our search for value, this bet seems lucrative enough to have a punt. (90/100 with Betway) (90/100 with Stake)(90/100 with 1Win)
Correct Score – 2-1: If you fancy having a nibble in the most dangerous of markets, looking for massive value, look no further. (860/100 with Betway) (860/100 with Stake) (860/100 with 1Win)
PREDICTION: VILLARREAL TO WIN
Villarreal are fully expected to put Real Valladolid to the sword while continuing their quest to qualify for European football next season. With all the issues surrounding Real Valladolid currently, it makes for grim reading as their fate seems set to relegation back to the Segunda Division.
Bryan is a passionate sports writer with a focus on football and cricket. While he loves top leagues like the UEFA Champions League, La Liga, and the Premier League, he also covers lesser-known leagues, offering previews and tips for sports betting sites.
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